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EastGroup Properties, Inc. (EGP) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $202.32 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away).

EastGroup Properties is an internally managed industrial REIT focused on development and operation of business distribution properties in Sunbelt markets, primarily Texas, Florida, California, Arizona and North Carolina. As of December 31, 2025, the company owned 550 industrial... Read more

$202.32+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.37%
IncomeYield3.07%(5y avg 2.76%)Payout110.00%
Stop $196.22Target $202.64(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$213.63+5.6%19 analysts
$202.64our TP
$202.32price
$213.63mean
$180
$240

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $202.32 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — EastGroup Properties, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.2% away)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.8
P/E (Fwd)36.6
Mkt Cap$10.9B
EV/EBITDA25.9
Profit Mgn39.8%
ROE8.5%
Rev Growth9.1%
Beta1.07
Dividend3.07%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV30%low

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicDallas11%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our largest markets were Houston and Dallas...represent 9.5% and 10.9%, respectively, of the Company's total Real estate properties based on percentage of total annualized base rent'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
0.2
Analyst Target
4.0
P Ocf
5.0
P/OCF: 22.2x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $195.81Resistance $206.78

Price Targets

$196
$203
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EGP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $202.32 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $196.22. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EGP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $202.64 (+0.2% upside). Prior stop was $196.22. Stop-loss: $196.22.

What are the risks of investing in EGP?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is EGP overvalued or undervalued?

EastGroup Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.8 (forward 36.6). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EGP?

24 analysts cover EGP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $214.

What does EastGroup Properties, Inc. do?EastGroup Properties is an internally managed industrial REIT focused on development and operation of business...

EastGroup Properties is an internally managed industrial REIT focused on development and operation of business distribution properties in Sunbelt markets, primarily Texas, Florida, California, Arizona and North Carolina. As of December 31, 2025, the company owned 550 industrial properties (~65 million sq ft) that were 97% leased to approximately 1,700 tenants; no single tenant exceeds 1.5% of annualized base rent.

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