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EGPEastGroup Properties, Inc.Hold5.7·$205.74+0.22%
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EastGroup Properties, Inc. (EGP) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $205.74, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.9% away).

EastGroup Properties is an internally managed industrial REIT focused on development and operation of business distribution properties in Sunbelt markets, primarily Texas, Florida, California, Arizona and North Carolina. As of December 31, 2025, the company owned 550 industrial... Read more

$205.74-1.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#5 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.32%
IncomeYield3.02%(5y avg 2.78%)Payout110.00%
Stop $197.84Target $203.57(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$214.89+4.4%19 analysts
$203.57our TP
$205.74price
$214.89mean
$180
$240

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $205.74, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About EastGroup Properties, Inc.

About EastGroup Properties, Inc.

EastGroup Properties owned 550 industrial properties across 12 states, comprising approximately 65 million square feet, with the operating portfolio 97.0% leased at December 31, 2025. The Sun Belt-focused strategy concentrates holdings near major transportation corridors in Texas, Florida, California, Arizona, and North Carolina — EastGroup's five core markets. No single tenant accounted for more than approximately 1.5% of annualized base rent, and Moody's affirmed its Baa2 issuer rating in May 2025, revising the outlook to positive.

EastGroup earns revenue through multi-year operating leases on industrial properties, most of which require tenants to pay their pro rata share of operating expenses including real estate taxes, insurance, and common area maintenance — a structure the company characterizes as mitigating exposure to inflationary cost increases. The development and acquisition program is funded through $675 million in unsecured bank credit facilities, with long-term financing intended to be primarily fixed-rate unsecured debt. During 2025 the company acquired 739,000 square feet of operating properties and 300.4 acres of development land for $261,683,000, and transferred 11 completed projects containing 2,109,000 square feet into its operating portfolio. Development projects in lease-up were 18.8% leased at year-end, representing the primary lease-up exposure on the active pipeline.

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Geographic concentration in Houston (9.5% of annualized base rent) and Dallas (10.9%) represents the most specific sub-market risk the 10-K quantifies, and the filing notes a downturn in those markets could have a particularly strong adverse effect. Separately, the company is exclusively concentrated in the industrial distribution sector, which could expose it to economic downturns in that sector to a greater extent than if its activities included other real estate segments. Tariff-driven materials inflation and potential building moratoriums could further compress development yields on active projects.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

From EastGroup Properties, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.9% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.3
P/E (Fwd)37.2
Mkt Cap$11.0B
EV/EBITDA26.3
Profit Mgn39.8%
ROE8.5%
Rev Growth9.1%
Beta1.05
Dividend3.02%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.87neutral
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicDallas11%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our largest markets were Houston and Dallas...represent 9.5% and 10.9%, respectively, of the Company's total Real estate properties based on percentage of total annualized base rent'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
4.0
P Ocf
4.9
P/OCF: 22.6x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $192.68Resistance $207.72

Price Targets

$198
$204
A.Upside-1.1%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EGP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $205.74, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $203.57 (-1.1%), stop $197.84 (−4.0%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EGP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $203.57 (-1.1% upside). Target $203.57 (-1.1%), stop $197.84 (−4.0%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $197.84.

What are the risks of investing in EGP?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.9% away); Expensive valuation.

Is EGP overvalued or undervalued?

EastGroup Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.3 (forward 37.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EGP?

24 analysts cover EGP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $215.

What does EastGroup Properties, Inc. do?EastGroup Properties is an internally managed industrial REIT focused on development and operation of business...

EastGroup Properties is an internally managed industrial REIT focused on development and operation of business distribution properties in Sunbelt markets, primarily Texas, Florida, California, Arizona and North Carolina. As of December 31, 2025, the company owned 550 industrial properties (~65 million sq ft) that were 97% leased to approximately 1,700 tenants; no single tenant exceeds 1.5% of annualized base rent.

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