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CNH Industrial N.V. (CNH) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.25: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

CNH Industrial designs, manufactures, and sells agricultural equipment (Case IH, New Holland) and construction equipment (CASE, New Holland Construction) globally through operations in 32 countries and commercial presence in ~166 countries. The company also provides captive... Read more

$10.25+17.5% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#11 of 12 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield1.95%
IncomeYield0.98%(5y avg 2.53%)Payout78.13%
Stop $9.64Target $12.02(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$13.36+30.3%19 analysts
$12.02our TP
$10.25price
$13.36mean
$21

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.25: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Val6.9Qual2.8Grw1.2Mom2.1Sent7.1Ins5.0Peer4.1Tech6.4Risk5.54.4OVERALL

Recent Developments — CNH Industrial N.V.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.0
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$12.7B
EV/EBITDA34.8
Profit Mgn2.1%
ROE4.8%
Rev Growth-0.1%
Beta1.25
Dividend0.98%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV61%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02LOW
    Asa Tamsons and Richard J. Kramer notified Board they will not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting. Richard Palmer and Lorenzo Simonelli nominated as replacements. No disagreement with Company cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.5
Declining revenue: -0%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.3
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.8
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roa
0.6
Operating Margin
1.1
Net Margin
1.1
Roe
1.6
Moat
3.1
Piotroski F
4.4
Fcf Quality
4.9
Current Ratio
8.1
Earnings quality warning: 64% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.94Resistance $11.03

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.Upside+17.3%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.25: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $9.64. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.02 (+17.5% upside). Prior stop was $9.64. Stop-loss: $9.64.

What are the risks of investing in CNH?

Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is CNH overvalued or undervalued?

CNH Industrial N.V. trades at a P/E of 32.0 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNH?

25 analysts cover CNH with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $13.

What does CNH Industrial N.V. do?CNH Industrial designs, manufactures, and sells agricultural equipment (Case IH, New Holland) and construction...

CNH Industrial designs, manufactures, and sells agricultural equipment (Case IH, New Holland) and construction equipment (CASE, New Holland Construction) globally through operations in 32 countries and commercial presence in ~166 countries. The company also provides captive financing through its Financial Services segment; the agricultural equipment market is in a cyclical downturn in 2025-2026.

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