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CNH Industrial N.V. (CNH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.95: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

CNH Industrial develops, manufactures, and sells agricultural and construction equipment globally, with commercial presence in approximately 166 countries and operations in 32 countries. Revenue comes from equipment sales in Agriculture and Construction segments and from... Read more

$10.95+14.4% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#9 of 12 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Stop $10.15Target $12.49(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$13.88+26.7%18 analysts
$12.49our TP
$10.95price
$13.88mean
$10
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.95: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.6
P/E (Fwd)13.7
Mkt Cap$12.5B
EV/EBITDA32.6
Profit Mgn2.8%
ROE6.5%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta1.33
Dividend0.99%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV71%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02LOW
    Directors Asa Tamsons and Richard J. Kramer will not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting. No disagreement cited. Successors nominated: Richard Palmer and Lorenzo Simonelli.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.9

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roa
0.7
Operating Margin
0.8
Net Margin
1.4
Roe
2.2
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
6.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.94Resistance $11.79

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.Upside+14.1%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.95: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $10.15. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.49 (+14.4% upside). Prior stop was $10.15. Stop-loss: $10.15.

What are the risks of investing in CNH?

Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is CNH overvalued or undervalued?

CNH Industrial N.V. trades at a P/E of 24.6 (forward 13.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNH?

25 analysts cover CNH with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $14.

What does CNH Industrial N.V. do?CNH Industrial develops, manufactures, and sells agricultural and construction equipment globally, with commercial...

CNH Industrial develops, manufactures, and sells agricultural and construction equipment globally, with commercial presence in approximately 166 countries and operations in 32 countries. Revenue comes from equipment sales in Agriculture and Construction segments and from Financial Services providing retail and wholesale financing to dealers and customers.

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