Skip to main content
CNHCNH Industrial N.V.Sell4.6·$10.44+0.48%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

CNH Industrial's business quality sits below the investment minimum with no identified competitive advantage, revenue in slight decline, and a flagged dividend yield trap; analyst consensus implies roughly 12% upside at a PEG of 0.61, but quality and execution concerns keep the risk/reward from being actionable at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Threshold No MoatStable
  • Analyst Consensus Implies Meaningful UpsideImproving
  • Revenue Contraction Growth AbsentStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CNH Industrial N.V. (CNH) Stock Analysis

SellShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.44: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.60; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

CNH Industrial N.V. develops, manufactures and sells agricultural equipment under the Case IH and New Holland brands, and construction equipment under CASE and New Holland Construction brands, through Agriculture, Construction, and Financial Services segments. The captive... Read more

$10.44+15.1% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#17 of 18 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.37%
IncomeYield0.96%(5y avg 2.54%)Payout40.00%sustainable
Stop $9.81Target $12.02(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$13.35+27.9%19 analysts
$12.02our TP
$10.44price
$13.35mean
$21

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.44: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.60; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202684d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.8
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$16.8B
EV/EBITDA35.8
Profit Mgn1.7%
ROE3.9%
Rev Growth2.0%
Beta1.22
Dividend0.96%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.60bearish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$15+43.7% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02LOW
    Board members Asa Tamsons and Richard J. Kramer notified the Board on March 24, 2026 they will not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting. No disagreement cited. Successors nominated: Richard Palmer and Lorenzo Simonelli.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.6
Growth Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
3.9

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roa
0.6
Net Margin
0.9
Roe
1.3
Operating Margin
2.2
Moat
3.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
8.1
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 182% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.11Resistance $12.02

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.Upside+15.1%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.44: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 1.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.60; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.81. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.02 (+15.1% upside). Prior stop was $9.81. Stop-loss: $9.81.

What are the risks of investing in CNH?

Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is CNH overvalued or undervalued?

CNH Industrial N.V. trades at a P/E of 41.8 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNH?

25 analysts cover CNH with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $13.

What does CNH Industrial N.V. do?CNH Industrial N.V. develops, manufactures and sells agricultural equipment under the Case IH and New Holland brands,...

CNH Industrial N.V. develops, manufactures and sells agricultural equipment under the Case IH and New Holland brands, and construction equipment under CASE and New Holland Construction brands, through Agriculture, Construction, and Financial Services segments. The captive financing arm, CNH Capital, provides retail and wholesale financing to dealers and end customers across subsidiaries in 32 countries.

Related stocks: BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation) · OSK (Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co) · FSS (Federal Signal Corporation) · TEX (Terex Corporation) · ALG (Alamo Group, Inc.)
Home Stocks CNH

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga5d agoAnalyst
Benzinga12d agoAnalyst
Benzinga12d agoAnalyst
Benzinga12d ago
Benzinga12d ago
Benzinga13d ago
Benzinga13d ago
Benzinga13d agoEarnings
Benzinga13d ago
Benzinga13d ago
Benzinga34d agoAnalyst
Benzinga54d ago
Benzinga66d ago
Benzinga97d ago
Benzinga101d ago
Benzinga101d ago
Benzinga108d agoEarnings
Benzinga108d agoEarnings
Benzinga108d ago
Benzinga119d ago
Loading more...