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CIXCompX International Inc.Sell6.0·$36.10
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

CompX International has a pristine balance sheet and a 3.2% dividend, but weak momentum, consecutive earnings misses and a 23.2x forward multiple with no identified edge make it an avoid for now.

Thesis pillars

  • Negative Price Momentum↑Improving
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Cash Conversion Gap→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 4, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 4, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CompX International Inc. (CIX) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Security & Protection Services

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $36.10: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

CompX International Inc. manufactures and sells security products and recreational marine components primarily in North America. It operates in two segments, Security Products and Marine Components. The Security Products segment manufactures mechanical and electrical cabinet... Read more

$36.10+9.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#5 of 11 Security & Protection Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.66%
IncomeYield3.32%(5y avg 4.39%)Payout67.42%
Stop $33.57Resistance target $39.49A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $36.10: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20269d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.3
P/E (Fwd)22.4
Mkt Cap$445M
EV/EBITDA13.2
Profit Mgn13.6%
ROE15.0%
Rev Growth8.0%
Beta0.85
Dividend3.32%
Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerUnited States Postal Service26%
    10-K Item 1: 'only one customer representing 10% or more of our consolidated net sales in 2025 (United States Postal Service representing 26%)'
  • MEDIUMCustomerten largest customers52%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest ten customers accounted for approximately 52% of our consolidated net sales in 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Dividend Safety
4.2
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 9 daysDividend: 3.3%
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.16Resistance $40.30

Price Targets

$34
$39
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts0
Consensus—
Avg Target—

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CIX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $36.10: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $33.57. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CIX stock price target?

Resistance target: $39.49 (+9.4% upside). Prior stop was $33.57. Stop-loss: $33.57.

What are the risks of investing in CIX?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is CIX overvalued or undervalued?

CompX International Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.3 (forward 22.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does CompX International Inc. do?CompX International Inc. manufactures and sells security products and recreational marine components primarily in North...

CompX International Inc. manufactures and sells security products and recreational marine components primarily in North America. It operates in two segments, Security Products and Marine Components. The Security Products segment manufactures mechanical and electrical cabinet locks, and other locking mechanisms used in various applications, including ignition systems, mailboxes, file cabinets, desk drawers, tool storage cabinets, high security medical cabinetry, integrated inventory and access control secured narcotics boxes, electrical circuit panels, storage compartments, gas station security, and vending and cash containment machines. This segment also offers disc and pin tumbler locks; and CompX eLock and StealthLock electronic locks for drug storage and other valuables. The Marine Components segment manufactures and distributes wake enhancement systems, stainless steel exhaust components, gauges, throttle controls, and related hardware and accessories; trim tabs, steering wheels and billet aluminum accessories; original equipment and aftermarket stainless steel exhaust headers, exhaust pipes, mufflers and other exhaust components; GPS speedometers and tachometers; mechanical and electronic controls and throttles; dash panels, LED indicators and wire harnesses; and grab handles, pin cleats and other accessories; fabricated metal products; and related hardware and accessories for ski/wakeboard boats and performance boats, as well as for the recreational marine and other industries. The company offers its products to recreational transportation, postal, office and institutional furniture, cabinetry, tool storage, healthcare, and other industries. It sells its products directly to original equipment manufacturers, as well as through distributors. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Dallas, Texas. CompX International Inc. (NYSEAM:CIX) operates as a subsidiary of NLI Holdings, Inc.

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