CompX International has a pristine balance sheet and a 3.2% dividend, but weak momentum, consecutive earnings misses and a 23.2x forward multiple with no identified edge make it an avoid for now.
Thesis pillars
- Negative Price Momentum—
- Consecutive Earnings Misses—
- Earnings Cash Conversion Gap—
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
CompX International Inc. (CIX) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $38.23 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
CompX International Inc. manufactures and sells security products and recreational marine components primarily in North America. It operates in two segments, Security Products and Marine Components. The Security Products segment manufactures mechanical and electrical cabinet... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $38.23 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerUnited States Postal Service26%10-K Item 1: 'only one customer representing 10% or more of our consolidated net sales in 2025 (United States Postal Service representing 26%)'
- MEDIUMCustomerten largest customers52%10-K Item 1: 'Our largest ten customers accounted for approximately 52% of our consolidated net sales in 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $38.23 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $35.55. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $39.48 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $35.55. Stop-loss: $35.55.
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.
CompX International Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.5 (forward 23.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
What does CompX International Inc. do?CompX International Inc. manufactures and sells security products and recreational marine components primarily in North...
CompX International Inc. manufactures and sells security products and recreational marine components primarily in North America. It operates in two segments, Security Products and Marine Components. The Security Products segment manufactures mechanical and electrical cabinet locks, and other locking mechanisms used in various applications, including ignition systems, mailboxes, file cabinets, desk drawers, tool storage cabinets, high security medical cabinetry, integrated inventory and access control secured narcotics boxes, electrical circuit panels, storage compartments, gas station security, and vending and cash containment machines. This segment also offers disc and pin tumbler locks; and CompX eLock and StealthLock electronic locks for drug storage and other valuables. The Marine Components segment manufactures and distributes wake enhancement systems, stainless steel exhaust components, gauges, throttle controls, and related hardware and accessories; trim tabs, steering wheels and billet aluminum accessories; original equipment and aftermarket stainless steel exhaust headers, exhaust pipes, mufflers and other exhaust components; GPS speedometers and tachometers; mechanical and electronic controls and throttles; dash panels, LED indicators and wire harnesses; and grab handles, pin cleats and other accessories; fabricated metal products; and related hardware and accessories for ski/wakeboard boats and performance boats, as well as for the recreational marine and other industries. The company offers its products to recreational transportation, postal, office and institutional furniture, cabinetry, tool storage, healthcare, and other industries. It sells its products directly to original equipment manufacturers, as well as through distributors. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Dallas, Texas. CompX International Inc. (NYSEAM:CIX) operates as a subsidiary of NLI Holdings, Inc.