CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.01: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
CoreCivic is the nation's largest owner of partnership correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities, operating through Safety (44 facilities, 91.7% of 2025 NOI), Community (20 facilities), and Properties (5 facilities) segments. Revenue comes from per diem... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.01: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and news legal. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — CoreCivic, Inc.
Latest news
- The Trump Administration On Tuesday It Will Designate Former ICE Official, Ex-Private Prison Executive David Venturella — benzinga May 13, 2026 negative
- Earnings Scheduled For May 6, 2026 — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
- CoreCivic Raises FY2026 FFO Guidance from $2.54-$2.64 to $2.58-$2.68 vs $2.62 Est — benzinga May 6, 2026 positive
- CoreCivic Q1 FFO $0.65 Beats $0.55 Estimate, Sales $614.729M Beat $604.475M Estimate — benzinga May 6, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerfederal correctional, detention and residential reentry authorities54%10-K Item 1: 'Payments by federal correctional, detention and residential reentry authorities represented 54%, 51%, and 52% of our total revenue for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.01: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $19.54. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $25.93 (+23.4% upside). Prior stop was $19.54. Stop-loss: $19.54.
Concentration risk — Customer: federal correctional, detention and residential reentry authorities (54.0%); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).
CoreCivic, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.1 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover CXW with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $30.
What does CoreCivic, Inc. do?CoreCivic is the nation's largest owner of partnership correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities,...
CoreCivic is the nation's largest owner of partnership correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities, operating through Safety (44 facilities, 91.7% of 2025 NOI), Community (20 facilities), and Properties (5 facilities) segments. Revenue comes from per diem payments by federal, state, and local government agencies, with federal customers (ICE, USMS, BOP) representing 54% of 2025 revenue.