Geo Group Inc (The) REIT (GEO) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Sell if holding. At $22.81, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4).
The GEO Group is the largest private operator of correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the UK. It earns per-diem government contract revenues for housing federal, state, and local inmates and detainees, as... Read more
Sell if holding. At $22.81, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and news legal. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Geo Group Inc (The) REIT
Latest news
- Democrats send letter to Geo Group over meetings with DHS's Lewandowski - report - MSN — MSN negative
- Geo Group (GEO) Expected to Announce Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Washington state says Geo Group refuses to let health inspectors into detention facility - ABC News - Breaking News, Lat — ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos negative
- Washington state says Geo Group refuses to let health inspectors into detention facility - WRAL — WRAL negative
- Why Is ICE Detention Facility Management Company Geo Group Stock Soaring Today? - Benzinga — Benzinga positive
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $22.81, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $21.21. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $25.07 (+9.9% upside). Prior stop was $21.21. Stop-loss: $21.21.
Thin upside margin: 9.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Geo Group Inc (The) REIT trades at a P/E of 11.6 (forward 13.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover GEO with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $30.
What does Geo Group Inc (The) REIT do?The GEO Group is the largest private operator of correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities in the...
The GEO Group is the largest private operator of correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the UK. It earns per-diem government contract revenues for housing federal, state, and local inmates and detainees, as well as rehabilitative programming services.