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Brinks Company (The) (BCO) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Security & Protection Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $102.30 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Company is a leading global provider of cash and valuables management, digital retail solutions, and ATM managed services. Our customers include financial institutions, retailers, government agencies, mints, jewelers and other commercial operations around the world. Our global... Read more

$102.30+27.1% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#2 of 8 Security & Protection Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield10.11%
IncomeYield0.97%(5y avg 1.09%)Payout23.83%sustainable
Stop $95.88Target $130.05(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$153.00+49.6%2 analysts
$130.05our TP
$102.30price
$153.00mean
$163

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $102.30 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Brinks Company (The)

Material events (past 30 days)

  • May 4, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Item 5.07 | Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders. At the 2026 Annual Meeting, five proposals were submitted to the Company's shareholders, including the proposal to approve the Amended and Restated 2024 Plan. A quorum of the Company's common shares was present for [... truncated]

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 11.4): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.5
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA8.5
Profit Mgn3.3%
ROE53.0%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta1.07
Dividend0.97%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.31bearish
IV39%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Item 5.07 | Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders. At the 2026 Annual Meeting, five proposals were submitted to the Company's shareholders, including the proposal to approve the Amended and Restated 2024 Plan. A quorum of the Company's common shares was present for [... truncated]
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Item 9.01 | Financial Statements and Exhibits. | | | (d) | Exhibits | | | | | | 104 | Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document) * * * SIGNATURE Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be s...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
1.4
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $98.85Resistance $113.32

Price Targets

$96
$130
A.Upside+27.1%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $102.30 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $95.88. Score 6.2/10, high confidence.

What is the BCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $130.05 (+27.1% upside). Prior stop was $95.88. Stop-loss: $95.88.

What are the risks of investing in BCO?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 11.4): -1.5.

Is BCO overvalued or undervalued?

Brinks Company (The) trades at a P/E of 24.5 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BCO?

7 analysts cover BCO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $153.

What does Brinks Company (The) do?Company is a leading global provider of cash and valuables management, digital retail solutions, and ATM managed...

Company is a leading global provider of cash and valuables management, digital retail solutions, and ATM managed services. Our customers include financial institutions, retailers, government agencies, mints, jewelers and other commercial operations around the world. Our global network serves customers in more than 100 countries. We have controlling ownership interests in companies in 51 countries and agency relationships with companies in additional countries.

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