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Brinks Company (The) (BCO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Security & Protection Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $106.64 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 11.3): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Company is a leading global provider of cash and valuables management, digital retail solutions, and ATM managed services. Our customers include financial institutions, retailers, government agencies, mints, jewelers and other commercial operations around the world. Our global... Read more

$106.64+22.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#3 of 8 Security & Protection Services
Stop $100.08Target $130.90(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst target$154.00+44.4%2 analysts
$130.90our TP
$106.64price
$154.00mean
$163

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $106.64 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 11.3): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 11.3): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.8
P/E (Fwd)10.2
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA8.4
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE58.5%
Rev Growth9.1%
Beta1.12
Dividend0.95%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.02bearish
IV54%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Item 9.01 | Financial Statements and Exhibits. | | | (d) | Exhibits | | | | | | 104 | Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document) * * * SIGNATURE Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be s...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.4
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $101.18Resistance $116.59

Price Targets

$100
$131
A.Upside+22.7%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-11 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $106.64 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 11.3): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Prior stop was $100.08. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $130.90 (+22.7% upside). Prior stop was $100.08. Stop-loss: $100.08.

What are the risks of investing in BCO?

Leverage penalty (D/E 11.3): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is BCO overvalued or undervalued?

Brinks Company (The) trades at a P/E of 22.8 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BCO?

7 analysts cover BCO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $154.

What does Brinks Company (The) do?Company is a leading global provider of cash and valuables management, digital retail solutions, and ATM managed...

Company is a leading global provider of cash and valuables management, digital retail solutions, and ATM managed services. Our customers include financial institutions, retailers, government agencies, mints, jewelers and other commercial operations around the world. Our global network serves customers in more than 100 countries. We have controlling ownership interests in companies in 51 countries and agency relationships with companies in additional countries.

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