Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Cyclical · Gambling
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $88.46 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Churchill Downs Incorporated ("CDI" or the "Company") has been creating extraordinary entertainment experiences for over 150 years, beginning with the Company's most iconic and enduring asset, the Kentucky Derby. Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, CDI has expanded through... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $88.46 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 17, MACD bearish. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Churchill Downs, Incorporated
Latest news
- CHDN (Churchill Downs Incorporated) dips 1.14% after Q4 2025 EPS trails consensus analyst estimates by 8%. - Net Debt/EB — Xã Vĩnh Công negative
- CHURCHILL DOWNS ($CHDN) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings, Stock Rises - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
- Churchill Downs’s (NASDAQ:CHDN) Q1 CY2026 Earnings Results: Revenue In Line With Expectations - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- Churchill Downs (NASDAQ:CHDN) Posts Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By $997.97 EPS - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- CHDN (Churchill Downs Incorporated) dips 1.14% after Q4 2025 EPS trails consensus analyst estimates by 8%. - Retail Trad — Cổng thông tin điện tử Tỉnh Sơn La negative
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $88.46 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 17, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $82.13. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $119.84 (+38.2% upside). Prior stop was $82.13. Stop-loss: $82.13.
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Churchill Downs, Incorporated trades at a P/E of 16.2 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts cover CHDN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $138.
What does Churchill Downs, Incorporated do?Churchill Downs Incorporated ("CDI" or the "Company") has been creating extraordinary entertainment experiences for...
Churchill Downs Incorporated ("CDI" or the "Company") has been creating extraordinary entertainment experiences for over 150 years, beginning with the Company's most iconic and enduring asset, the Kentucky Derby. Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, CDI has expanded through the acquisition, development, and operation of live and historical racing entertainment venues, the growth of the online wagering businesses, and the acquisition, development, and operation of regional casino gaming prop...