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BRSLBrightstar Lottery PLC Trading Sell5.2·$11.11+0.36%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Brightstar Lottery screens attractively on valuation with a forward multiple of 12.4 times and a PEG ratio of 0.25, but a confirmed technical downtrend, a recent earnings miss, and an extreme put-to-call ratio of 23.4 signal that the valuation case cannot be acted on until momentum stabilizes.

Thesis pillars

  • Compelling Valuation Analyst UpsideStable
  • Strong Free Cash ConversionImproving
  • Confirmed Price DowntrendImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading (BRSL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueQualityHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Gambling

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $11.11: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Weak growth.

Brightstar Lottery PLC provides lottery solutions in the United States, Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company designs, sells, operates, and leases a suite of point-of-sale machines that reconciles lottery funds between the retailer and the lottery authority;... Read more

$11.11+26.2% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#7 of 8 Gambling
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield216.25%
IncomeYield8.31%(5y avg 4.51%)Payout92.63%at-risk
Stop $10.29Target $13.94(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$16.02+44.2%8 analysts
$13.94our TP
$11.11price
$16.02mean
$21

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $11.11: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.65, earnings proximity 93d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 202693d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 26%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.6
P/E (Fwd)16.6
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA8.5
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE15.2%
Rev Growth-7.4%
Beta0.98
Dividend8.31%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV111%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -7.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.7
Declining revenue: -7%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.3
52w Position
2.5
Support Resistance
3.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
5.0
Value Rank
8.0
Attractive P/E vs peers
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.0>=5.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.65EARNINGS PROXIMITY 93d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.90Resistance $11.55

Price Targets

$10
$14
A.Upside+26.2%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts15
Consensus3.8/5
Avg Target$16

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (93d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRSL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $11.11: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Prior stop was $10.29. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the BRSL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.94 (+26.2% upside). Prior stop was $10.29. Stop-loss: $10.29.

What are the risks of investing in BRSL?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BRSL overvalued or undervalued?

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading trades at a P/E of 11.6 (forward 16.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BRSL?

15 analysts cover BRSL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading do?Brightstar Lottery PLC provides lottery solutions in the United States, Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The...

Brightstar Lottery PLC provides lottery solutions in the United States, Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company designs, sells, operates, and leases a suite of point-of-sale machines that reconciles lottery funds between the retailer and the lottery authority; operates and provides lottery transaction processing systems; produces instant ticket games; and offers printing services, such as instant ticket marketing plans and graphic design, programming, packaging, shipping, and delivery services, as well as lottery management services; instant lottery systems; and iLottery, a platform that provides access to eInstant and draw games. It also processes commercial transactions, such as prepaid cellular telephone recharges, bill payments, e-vouchers and retail-based programs, electronic tax payments, prepaid card recharges, stamp duty, and money transfer services; sells additional machines and central computers to expand existing systems or replace existing equipment; and licenses related software. In addition, the company provides marketing services, such as retail optimization and lottery brand awareness campaigns; telephone support, software and hardware maintenance, software development, and other professional services; and ancillary maintenance and support services for systems, equipment, and software. The company was formerly known as International Game Technology PLC and changed its name to Brightstar Lottery PLC in July 2025. Brightstar Lottery PLC was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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