Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading (BRSL) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the BRSL stock price target?

Take-profit $15.56 (+19.5% upside). Prior stop was $12.37.

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Consumer Cyclical · Gambling

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $13.04: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Weak growth.

$13.04+19.5% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#6 of 6 Gambling

Stop $12.37Target $15.56(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.5:1

Analyst target$17.88+37.1%5 analysts

$15.56our TP

$13.04price

$17.88mean

$22

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $13.04: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Attractive valuation

Risks

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5

Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)12.0

Mkt Cap$2.4B

EV/EBITDA6.8

Profit Mgn5.9%

ROE7.4%

Rev Growth2.6%

Beta1.08

Dividend7.11%

Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish

IV101%elevated

Max Pain$6-54.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.415%1.26

Quality5.115%0.76

Growth1.615%0.24

Momentum5.610%0.56

Sentiment6.310%0.63

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.810%0.48

Technical Setup3.05%0.15

Risk Profile5.45%0.27

Catalyst5.15%0.26

Overall (Σ contributions)5.11

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth

0.0

Revenue Growth

3.1

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance

1.9

Bollinger

2.5

52w Position

4.5

GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.6>=5.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

67 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.02Resistance $13.26

Price Targets

$12

$16

A.Upside+19.3%

A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Analyst Consensus

Analysts12

Consensus4.0/5

Avg Target$18

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-12 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is BRSL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $13.04: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Prior stop was $12.37. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the BRSL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.56 (+19.5% upside). Prior stop was $12.37. Stop-loss: $12.37.

What are the risks of investing in BRSL?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Weak growth.

Is BRSL overvalued or undervalued?

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BRSL?

12 analysts cover BRSL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading do?Brightstar Lottery PLC provides lottery solutions in the United States, Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The...

Brightstar Lottery PLC provides lottery solutions in the United States, Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company designs, sells, operates, and leases a suite of point-of-sale machines that reconciles lottery funds between the retailer and the lottery authority; operates and provides lottery transaction processing systems; produces instant ticket games; and offers printing services, such as instant ticket marketing plans and graphic design, programming, packaging, shipping, and delivery services, as well as lottery management services; instant lottery systems; and iLottery, a platform that provides access to eInstant and draw games. It also processes commercial transactions, such as prepaid cellular telephone recharges, bill payments, e-vouchers and retail-based programs, electronic tax payments, prepaid card recharges, stamp duty, and money transfer services; sells additional machines and central computers to expand existing systems or replace existing equipment; and licenses related software. In addition, the company provides marketing services, such as retail optimization and lottery brand awareness campaigns; telephone support, software and hardware maintenance, software development, and other professional services; and ancillary maintenance and support services for systems, equipment, and software. The company was formerly known as International Game Technology PLC and changed its name to Brightstar Lottery PLC in July 2025. Brightstar Lottery PLC was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.