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Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading (BRSL) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Gambling

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.61 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Brightstar Lottery PLC provides lottery solutions in the United States, Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company designs, sells, operates, and leases a suite of point-of-sale machines that reconciles lottery funds between the retailer and the lottery authority;... Read more

$10.61+37.0% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 6 Gambling
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield255.63%
IncomeYield8.44%(5y avg 4.51%)Payout283.33%at-risk
Stop $10.25Target $14.54(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.2:1
Analyst target$16.71+57.5%7 analysts
$14.54our TP
$10.61price
$16.71mean
$21

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.61 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 25, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Val8.4Qual5.1Grw6.3Mom3.1Sent7.7Ins5.0Peer3.8Tech7.1Risk5.25.8OVERALL

Recent Developments — Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 37%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.3
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA7.0
Profit Mgn6.2%
ROE9.3%
Rev Growth0.7%
Beta1.01
Dividend8.44%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV78%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
5.6
Obv
5.8
Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
4.2
Value Rank
6.2
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
25 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.57Resistance $13.19

Price Targets

$10
$15
A.Upside+37.0%
A.R:R4.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRSL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.61 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 25, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $10.25. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

What is the BRSL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.54 (+37.0% upside). Prior stop was $10.25. Stop-loss: $10.25.

What are the risks of investing in BRSL?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0.

Is BRSL overvalued or undervalued?

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading trades at a P/E of 36.3 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BRSL?

12 analysts cover BRSL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading do?Brightstar Lottery PLC provides lottery solutions in the United States, Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The...

Brightstar Lottery PLC provides lottery solutions in the United States, Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company designs, sells, operates, and leases a suite of point-of-sale machines that reconciles lottery funds between the retailer and the lottery authority; operates and provides lottery transaction processing systems; produces instant ticket games; and offers printing services, such as instant ticket marketing plans and graphic design, programming, packaging, shipping, and delivery services, as well as lottery management services; instant lottery systems; and iLottery, a platform that provides access to eInstant and draw games. It also processes commercial transactions, such as prepaid cellular telephone recharges, bill payments, e-vouchers and retail-based programs, electronic tax payments, prepaid card recharges, stamp duty, and money transfer services; sells additional machines and central computers to expand existing systems or replace existing equipment; and licenses related software. In addition, the company provides marketing services, such as retail optimization and lottery brand awareness campaigns; telephone support, software and hardware maintenance, software development, and other professional services; and ancillary maintenance and support services for systems, equipment, and software. The company was formerly known as International Game Technology PLC and changed its name to Brightstar Lottery PLC in July 2025. Brightstar Lottery PLC was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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