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FLUTFlutter Entertainment plcSell5.1·$106.86-3.42%
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Flutter Entertainment plc (FLUT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Gambling

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $106.86: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Flutter Entertainment is an online sports betting and iGaming operator running brands including FanDuel (U.S.), Sky Betting and Gaming (UK), Sportsbet (Australia), PokerStars, Paddy Power, Sisal, and Snai across approximately 100 global markets. In fiscal 2025, it generated... Read more

$106.86+37.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#6 of 6 Gambling
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-4.57%
Stop $99.42Target $146.45(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$162.72+52.3%25 analysts
$146.45our TP
$106.86price
$162.72mean
$80
$341

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $106.86: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Flutter Entertainment plc

About Flutter Entertainment plc

Flutter Entertainment generated $16,383 million in revenue for fiscal 2025 across two segments — U.S. ($6,967 million, 43% of total) and International ($9,416 million, 57%) — driven by 15.9 million average monthly players globally. Sportsbook represented 53% of group revenue, iGaming 44%, and other products 3%, with 88% of revenue originating from online operations. The company spent $3,678 million on sales and marketing and $991 million on technology research and development during fiscal 2025.

Flutter operates through 13 major brands serving distinct geographies: FanDuel and TVG (United States), Sky Betting & Gaming, Paddy Power, Betfair, and tombola (United Kingdom and Ireland), Sportsbet (Australia), PokerStars (international poker), and Sisal, Snai (Italy), among others. In the U.S., FanDuel held approximately 41% of the online sports betting market in live states and approximately 27% of the iGaming market in live states for fiscal 2025. Revenue mechanics vary by product: fixed-odds sportsbook generates margin through the theoretical spread between true probability and quoted odds; casino iGaming revenue is the hold on gross bets; P2P poker generates rake commissions. Flutter also operates 1,127 retail shops, primarily in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Italy, and Serbia. During fiscal 2025, the company completed acquisitions of a 56% interest in NSX Group (Brazil's Betnacional) for BRL 3,799 million and 100% of Snaitech S.p.A. (Italy) for approximately $2.6 billion.

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Flutter's international operations are subject to gaming regulatory regimes that could restrict revenue in specific markets without warning. In India, the company ceased offering iGaming through its Junglee brand on August 22, 2025 following a ban on all forms of online real money gaming. Marketing restrictions in Australia, Italy, Spain, Ireland, and Belgium are tightening, with jurisdictions placing additional limitations on timing and use of ambassadors for gambling promotion. In May 2026, Flutter disclosed via Form 8-K the departure of FanDuel CEO Amy Howe, with FanDuel President Christian Genetski assuming leadership — a management transition at the U.S. segment that contributed 43% of 2025 revenue.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Gambling

From Flutter Entertainment plc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$19.2B
EV/EBITDA14.5
Profit Mgn-2.2%
ROE-5.0%
Rev Growth17.4%
Beta1.10
DividendNone
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.97neutral
IV78%elevated
Max Pain$340+218.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.8
Operating Margin
0.9
Current Ratio
3.6
Gross Margin
4.8
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Cash-burning: FCF -5% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
2.8
Support Resistance
4.6

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.9
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $91.92Resistance $119.44

Price Targets

$99
$146
A.Upside+37.0%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLUT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $106.86: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Prior stop was $99.42. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLUT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $146.45 (+37.0% upside). Prior stop was $99.42. Stop-loss: $99.42.

What are the risks of investing in FLUT?

Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is FLUT overvalued or undervalued?

Flutter Entertainment plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLUT?

31 analysts cover FLUT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $163.

What does Flutter Entertainment plc do?Flutter Entertainment is an online sports betting and iGaming operator running brands including FanDuel (U.S.), Sky...

Flutter Entertainment is an online sports betting and iGaming operator running brands including FanDuel (U.S.), Sky Betting and Gaming (UK), Sportsbet (Australia), PokerStars, Paddy Power, Sisal, and Snai across approximately 100 global markets. In fiscal 2025, it generated $16.4 billion in revenue with 15.9 million average monthly players; the U.S. segment (FanDuel) contributed 43% of revenue.

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