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Flutter Entertainment plc (FLUT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Gambling

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $107.38: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 7.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.38; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Flutter Entertainment operates online sports betting and iGaming brands globally—including FanDuel, Sky Betting & Gaming, PokerStars, Sportsbet, Paddy Power, Sisal, and Snai—with 15.9 million average monthly players. Revenue is derived from sportsbook, iGaming, and other... Read more

$107.38+56.7% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 6 Gambling
Stop $99.86Target $168.30(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 7.2:1
Analyst target$187.00+74.1%24 analysts
$168.30our TP
$107.38price
$187.00mean
$341

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $107.38: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 7.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.38; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.26% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$18.7B
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn-1.9%
ROE-3.9%
Rev Growth24.9%
Beta1.16
DividendNone
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.38bearish
IV81%elevated
Max Pain$70-34.8% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-02Item 5.02LOW
    Director Alfred F. Hurley Jr. notified Flutter's Board on April 1, 2026 that he will retire and not stand for re-election at the 2026 AGM (May 29, 2026). No disagreement with the company cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.0
Operating Margin
2.5
Current Ratio
3.8
Gross Margin
5.0
Moat
5.0
Fcf Quality
5.4
Piotroski F
6.7
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 7%, FCF yield 6.1%)No competitive moat

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
4.7
Bollinger
5.3
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5INSIDER 7.59%=EXTREMEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 7.2 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $99.29Resistance $114.58

Price Targets

$100
$168
A.Upside+56.7%
A.R:R7.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.26% of cap)
! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLUT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $107.38: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 7.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.38; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Prior stop was $99.86. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLUT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $168.30 (+56.7% upside). Prior stop was $99.86. Stop-loss: $99.86.

What are the risks of investing in FLUT?

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.26% of cap).

Is FLUT overvalued or undervalued?

Flutter Entertainment plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLUT?

32 analysts cover FLUT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $187.

What does Flutter Entertainment plc do?Flutter Entertainment operates online sports betting and iGaming brands globally—including FanDuel, Sky Betting &...

Flutter Entertainment operates online sports betting and iGaming brands globally—including FanDuel, Sky Betting & Gaming, PokerStars, Sportsbet, Paddy Power, Sisal, and Snai—with 15.9 million average monthly players. Revenue is derived from sportsbook, iGaming, and other wagering products across multiple regulated jurisdictions including the U.S., U.K., Australia, and Italy.

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