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Flutter Entertainment plc (FLUT) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Gambling

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $97.50: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 5.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. (Note: Risk dimension 5.3/10 and A.R:R 5.2:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.)

Flutter Entertainment is an online sports betting and iGaming operator running brands including FanDuel (U.S.), Sky Betting and Gaming (UK), Sportsbet (Australia), PokerStars, Paddy Power, Sisal, and Snai across approximately 100 global markets. In fiscal 2025, it generated... Read more

$97.50+50.5% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#6 of 6 Gambling
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-5.20%
Stop $90.68Target $146.74(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 5.2:1
Analyst target$163.04+67.2%25 analysts
$146.74our TP
$97.50price
$163.04mean
$341

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $97.50: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 5.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. (Note: Risk dimension 5.3/10 and A.R:R 5.2:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Val8.4Qual2.3Grw3.5Mom1.3Sent6.2Ins8.3Peer4.2Tech4.8Risk5.34.9OVERALL

Recent Developments — Flutter Entertainment plc

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$16.9B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn-2.2%
ROE-5.0%
Rev Growth17.4%
Beta1.15
DividendNone
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.10bearish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$370+279.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.8
Operating Margin
0.9
Current Ratio
3.6
Gross Margin
4.8
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Cash-burning: FCF -5% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.9
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5INSIDER 9.53%=EXTREMEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.2 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $91.52Resistance $114.58

Price Targets

$91
$147
A.Upside+50.5%
A.R:R5.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Insider activity: 9.53%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLUT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $97.50: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 5.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. (Note: Risk dimension 5.3/10 and A.R:R 5.2:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $90.68. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLUT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $146.74 (+50.5% upside). Prior stop was $90.68. Stop-loss: $90.68.

What are the risks of investing in FLUT?

Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is FLUT overvalued or undervalued?

Flutter Entertainment plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLUT?

32 analysts cover FLUT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $163.

What does Flutter Entertainment plc do?Flutter Entertainment is an online sports betting and iGaming operator running brands including FanDuel (U.S.), Sky...

Flutter Entertainment is an online sports betting and iGaming operator running brands including FanDuel (U.S.), Sky Betting and Gaming (UK), Sportsbet (Australia), PokerStars, Paddy Power, Sisal, and Snai across approximately 100 global markets. In fiscal 2025, it generated $16.4 billion in revenue with 15.9 million average monthly players; the U.S. segment (FanDuel) contributed 43% of revenue.

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