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RSIRush Street Interactive, Inc.Buy Wait6.4·$31.77+1.10%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Rush Street Interactive is a high-growth online gaming company with 41% year-over-year revenue growth, industry-leading returns on equity, and exceptional free cash flow conversion, but trading at overbought levels with the price above analyst targets and a put-to-call ratio of 2.0 signaling elevated bearish hedging.

Thesis pillars

  • 41 Percent Revenue Growth RateStable
  • Excellent Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Overbought Valuation At TargetImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (RSI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Gambling

Earnings in 2 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $30.55. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.77. Engine's entry $30.55 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.6%), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.26% of cap).

Rush Street Interactive offers real-money online casino, sports betting, and retail sports betting across 16 U.S. states and four international markets—Colombia, Ontario, Mexico, and Peru—reaching a combined population of over 360 million. Revenue is generated through B2C... Read more

$31.77-5.8% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 8 Gambling
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.58%
Entry $30.55(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $27.92Target $33.84(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$34.36+8.2%11 analysts
$33.84our TP
$31.77price
$34.36mean
$30
$40

Wait for pullback to $30.55. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.77. Engine's entry $30.55 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.6%), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.26% of cap). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.6%), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.26% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)92.4
P/E (Fwd)37.3
Mkt Cap$7.3B
EV/EBITDA19.8
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE34.6%
Rev Growth41.1%
Beta1.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV77%elevated
Max Pain$20-37.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierKambi Group plc
    10-K Item 1: 'Integrated into our online sports betting platform is a third-party risk and trading platform currently provided by Kambi Group plc and its subsidiaries'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEINSIDER 4.24%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $29.28Resistance $34.53

Price Targets

$28
$31
$34
A.Upside-5.8%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.8% upside)
! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RSI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $30.55. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.77. Engine's entry $30.55 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.6%), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.26% of cap). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $33.84 (+6.5%), stop $27.92 (−13.8%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RSI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.84 (-5.8% upside). Target $33.84 (+6.5%), stop $27.92 (−13.8%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $27.92.

What are the risks of investing in RSI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.6%), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.26% of cap).

Is RSI overvalued or undervalued?

Rush Street Interactive, Inc. trades at a P/E of 92.4 (forward 37.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about RSI?

15 analysts cover RSI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Rush Street Interactive, Inc. do?Rush Street Interactive offers real-money online casino, sports betting, and retail sports betting across 16 U.S....

Rush Street Interactive offers real-money online casino, sports betting, and retail sports betting across 16 U.S. states and four international markets—Colombia, Ontario, Mexico, and Peru—reaching a combined population of over 360 million. Revenue is generated through B2C operations under BetRivers and PlaySugarHouse brands, which contributed more than 99% of total revenue in 2025, with the remainder from B2B retail sportsbook services.

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