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Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.80: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 35%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Bitdeer Technologies Group operates as a technology company for blockchain and high-performance computing (HPC) in Singapore, the United States, Bhutan, Norway, Finland, Ethiopia, and internationally. The company offers hash rate sharing solutions, including cloud hash rate and... Read more

$12.80+42.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#61 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-23.01%
Stop $11.93Target $18.29(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$21.02+64.2%11 analysts
$18.29our TP
$12.80price
$21.02mean
$27

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.80: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 35%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Bitdeer Technologies Group

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-64.7
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA10.5
Profit Mgn-27.0%
ROE-26.1%
Rev Growth169.4%
Beta2.32
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.02bearish
IV119%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
4.1
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
6.5
Cash-burning: FCF -100% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Volatile — 9.4% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Days To Cover
2.0
Debt Equity
2.2
Beta
2.3
News Risk
6.0
Put Call
6.5
High short interest justified: 35%High IV: 119%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Value Rank
3.9
Growth Rank
9.9
Industry growth leader

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.77Resistance $15.11

Price Targets

$12
$18
A.Upside+42.9%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-17 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BTDR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.80: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 35%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $11.93. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BTDR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.29 (+42.6% upside). Prior stop was $11.93. Stop-loss: $11.93.

What are the risks of investing in BTDR?

Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is BTDR overvalued or undervalued?

Bitdeer Technologies Group trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -64.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BTDR?

19 analysts cover BTDR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Bitdeer Technologies Group do?Bitdeer Technologies Group operates as a technology company for blockchain and high-performance computing (HPC) in...

Bitdeer Technologies Group operates as a technology company for blockchain and high-performance computing (HPC) in Singapore, the United States, Bhutan, Norway, Finland, Ethiopia, and internationally. The company offers hash rate sharing solutions, including cloud hash rate and hash-rate subscription plans; and a one-stop mining rig hosting solution comprising deployment, maintenance, and management services for cryptocurrency mining; as well as mining cryptocurrencies for its own account. It also operates mining datacenters to generate hash rates; handles various processes involved in computing, such as equipment procurement, transport logistics, datacenter design and construction, equipment management, and daily operations; and sells mining rigs. In addition, the company offers Minerplus, a software platform that offers software support to reduce time needed for daily maintenance and mining rig upgrade; AI infrastructure and AI cloud business to offer advanced AI cloud capabilities, HPC services and colocation services; and mining solutions under the SEALMINER brand. The company is headquartered in Singapore.

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