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Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.37: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Elevated put/call ratio: 13.15; Below-average business quality.

Bitdeer Technologies Group operates as a technology company for blockchain and high-performance computing (HPC) in Singapore, the United States, Bhutan, and Norway. The company offers hash rate sharing solutions, including Cloud hash rate and Hash rate marketplace; and a... Read more

$11.37+56.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#85 of 96 Software - Application
Stop $10.58Target $17.86(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst target$20.53+80.6%12 analysts
$17.86our TP
$11.37price
$20.53mean
$30

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.37: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Elevated put/call ratio: 13.15; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-95.6
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA10.3
Profit Mgn10.6%
ROE11.5%
Rev Growth225.8%
Beta2.28
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C13.15bearish
IV123%elevated
Max Pain$3-73.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Volatile — 7.7% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
2.4
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Days To Cover
3.6
Debt Equity
4.5
High short interest justified: 36%Elevated put/call: 13.15High IV: 123%Above max pain $3

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.5
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
4.2
Bollinger
5.0
Gap
5.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
3.1
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
3.6
Roe
3.8
Moat
5.0
Net Margin
5.3
Operating Margin
10.0
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -1386% FCF/NINo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 3.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.77Resistance $13.24

Price Targets

$11
$18
A.Upside+57.1%
A.R:R3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-14 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BTDR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.37: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Elevated put/call ratio: 13.15; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $10.58. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BTDR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.86 (+56.9% upside). Prior stop was $10.58. Stop-loss: $10.58.

What are the risks of investing in BTDR?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is BTDR overvalued or undervalued?

Bitdeer Technologies Group trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -95.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BTDR?

19 analysts cover BTDR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Bitdeer Technologies Group do?Bitdeer Technologies Group operates as a technology company for blockchain and high-performance computing (HPC) in...

Bitdeer Technologies Group operates as a technology company for blockchain and high-performance computing (HPC) in Singapore, the United States, Bhutan, and Norway. The company offers hash rate sharing solutions, including Cloud hash rate and Hash rate marketplace; and a one-stop mining rig hosting solutions comprising deployment, maintenance, and management services for cryptocurrency mining; as well as mines cryptocurrencies for its own account. It also operates mining datacenters to generate hash rate; handles various processes involved in computing, such as equipment procurement, transport logistics, datacenter design and construction, equipment management, and daily operations; and sells mining rigs. In addition, the company offers Minerplus, a software platform that offers software support to reduce time needed for daily maintenance and mining rig upgrade; and mining solutions under the SEALMINER brand. The company is headquartered in Singapore.

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