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BTDRBitdeer Technologies GroupSell5.9·$9.31+6.31%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Revenue is growing at a triple-digit pace and price momentum remains technically constructive, but the company burns cash at a rate equal to its entire revenue base, has missed earnings estimates in every quarter over the past year by an average of 64%, and carries a 34% short interest — growth alone has not been sufficient to validate the business model.

Thesis pillars

  • Cash Burn Quality FailureDeteriorating
  • Hypergrowth Revenue TrajectoryStable
  • Extreme Short InterestImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.31: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 7.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 32%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Bitdeer Technologies Group operates as a technology company for blockchain and high-performance computing (HPC) in Singapore, the United States, Bhutan, Norway, Finland, Ethiopia, Canada, and internationally. The company offers hash rate sharing solutions, including cloud hash... Read more

$9.31+112.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#54 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield0.68%
Stop $8.49Target $19.43(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 7.5:1
Analyst target$22.33+139.9%12 analysts
$19.43our TP
$9.31price
$22.33mean
$35

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.31: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 7.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 32%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16

Recent Developments — Bitdeer Technologies Group

Generated 2026-08-16T15:37:03Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202684d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-26.9
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA8.2
Profit Mgn-28.1%
ROE-25.3%
Rev Growth47.1%
Beta2.51
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.82neutral
IV107%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
2.6
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
4.0
Moat
4.2
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.7
Obv
5.9
Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 7.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.44Resistance $12.97

Price Targets

$8
$19
A.Upside+112.8%
A.R:R7.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BTDR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.31: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 7.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 32%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $8.49. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BTDR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.43 (+112.8% upside). Prior stop was $8.49. Stop-loss: $8.49.

What are the risks of investing in BTDR?

Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is BTDR overvalued or undervalued?

Bitdeer Technologies Group trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -26.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BTDR?

19 analysts cover BTDR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Bitdeer Technologies Group do?Bitdeer Technologies Group operates as a technology company for blockchain and high-performance computing (HPC) in...

Bitdeer Technologies Group operates as a technology company for blockchain and high-performance computing (HPC) in Singapore, the United States, Bhutan, Norway, Finland, Ethiopia, Canada, and internationally. The company offers hash rate sharing solutions, including cloud hash rate and hash-rate subscription plans; and a one-stop mining rig hosting solution comprising deployment, maintenance, and management services for cryptocurrency mining; as well as mining cryptocurrencies for its own account. It also operates mining datacenters to generate hash rates; handles various processes involved in computing, such as equipment procurement, transport logistics, datacenter design and construction, equipment management, and daily operations; and sells mining rigs. In addition, the company offers Minerplus, a software platform that offers software support to reduce time needed for daily maintenance and mining rig upgrade; AI infrastructure and AI cloud business to offer advanced AI cloud capabilities, HPC services and colocation services; and mining solutions under the SEALMINER brand. The company is headquartered in Singapore.

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