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MAMAMama's Creations, Inc.Hold6.4·$13.80
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Mama's Creations has posted a perfect 4-quarter EPS beat streak with 50% YoY growth and positive momentum, but a rich forward P/E and a stock price already near its analyst target limit the near-term reward relative to the risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Momentum OverboughtImproving
  • Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Rich Forward ValuationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Mama's Creations, Inc. (MAMA) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Negative momentum.

Mama's Creations manufactures and markets fresh, deli-prepared foods, including meatballs, meatloaf, sausage, pasta, and salads, sold under the MamaMancini's, T&L Creative Salads, Olive Branch, and Crown 1 Foods brands to over 12,000 grocery, mass, club, and convenience stores... Read more

$13.80+40.5% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#3 of 35 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.99%
Stop $12.83Target $19.39(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$22.29+61.5%7 analysts
$19.39our TP
$13.80price
$22.29mean
$25

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Mama's Creations, Inc.

About Mama's Creations, Inc.

Mama's Creations sells fresh deli-prepared foods - meatballs, meatloaf, sausage, pasta and rice entrees, salads, and olives - under the MamaMancini's, T&L Creative Salads, Olive Branch, and Crown 1 Foods brands, reaching over 12,000 grocery, mass, club, and convenience stores nationwide. Two customers accounted for approximately 38% and 17% of gross sales, respectively, in the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, and the company's roughly 582 employees operate manufacturing facilities including a shared Farmingdale, New York plant for Olive Branch and T&L Creative Salads.

Mama's Creations sells almost entirely through a commission broker network to large retail chains and food distributors at premium prices, typically $7.99 to $9.99 per pound for fresh prepared foods sold in deli and hot-bar sections. The company has grown mainly through acquisitions - T&L Creative Salads and Olive Branch in 2021, Chef Inspirational Foods in 2022-2023, and the $17.3 million Crown 1 Business purchase in September 2025 - to build toward a stated goal of $1 billion in sales as a one-stop-shop deli supplier. Almost all products are manufactured internally, with raw materials, including tomatoes, onions, poultry, and meats, sourced domestically, and the company holds a 50-year exclusive license (with a 25-year extension option) from founder Dan Dougherty for the MamaMancini's family recipes that underpin its core product line.

Show full overview

Mama's Creations' revenue is unusually concentrated for a packaged-food company of its scale: two customers made up approximately 38% and 17% of gross sales in the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, up from a single customer at 44% the year before, and the 10-K warns that industry consolidation and the growing bargaining power of large-format retailers and e-commerce platforms could let these customers demand lower prices, higher promotional allowances, or reduced shelf space. Because finished-goods inventory sits in only a small number of warehouse facilities, a disruption at a single site combined with the loss of either top customer would compound quickly, a risk the company has not yet diversified away even as it pursues its $1 billion revenue ambition.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

From Mama's Creations, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-23
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Dec 3, 202671d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)81.2
P/E (Fwd)38.3
Mkt Cap$651M
EV/EBITDA30.9
Profit Mgn3.5%
ROE7.5%
Rev Growth55.0%
Beta0.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.36bearish
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
1.1
Macd
1.7
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.88Resistance $16.93

Price Targets

$13
$19
A.Upside+40.5%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-03 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAMA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $19.39 (+40.5%), stop $12.83 (−7.6%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAMA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.39 (+40.5% upside). Target $19.39 (+40.5%), stop $12.83 (−7.6%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Stop-loss: $12.83.

What are the risks of investing in MAMA?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Negative momentum.

Is MAMA overvalued or undervalued?

Mama's Creations, Inc. trades at a P/E of 81.2 (forward 38.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MAMA?

14 analysts cover MAMA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Mama's Creations, Inc. do?Mama's Creations manufactures and markets fresh, deli-prepared foods, including meatballs, meatloaf, sausage, pasta,...

Mama's Creations manufactures and markets fresh, deli-prepared foods, including meatballs, meatloaf, sausage, pasta, and salads, sold under the MamaMancini's, T&L Creative Salads, Olive Branch, and Crown 1 Foods brands to over 12,000 grocery, mass, club, and convenience stores nationally. Products are sold primarily through a commission broker network to large retail chains and food distributors, with two customers accounting for approximately 38% and 17% of gross sales in the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026. The company pursues a one-stop-shop deli strategy, targeting $1 billion in sales t

Related stocks: SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp.) · SENEB (Seneca Foods Corp.) · OFRM (Once Upon a Farm, PBC) · BRBR (BellRing Brands, Inc.) · HLF (Herbalife Ltd.)
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