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BP p.l.c. (BP) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.55 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.4% away).

BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, engages in the oil and gas business worldwide. The company operates through Gas & Low Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products segments. It engages in the production of natural gas, marketing, and trading... Read more

$47.55-1.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#10 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
Stop $45.32Target $47.03(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$49.54+4.2%17 analysts
$47.03our TP
$47.55price
$49.54mean
$31
$62

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.55 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.4% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 95d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.7
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$120.5B
EV/EBITDA22.8
Profit Mgn1.7%
ROE5.8%
Rev Growth11.6%
Beta-0.20
Dividend4.27%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.78neutral
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.2
52w Position
9.7
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 95d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.34Resistance $47.99

Price Targets

$45
$47
A.Upside-1.1%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (95d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.55 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.4% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $45.32. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.03 (-1.1% upside). Prior stop was $45.32. Stop-loss: $45.32.

What are the risks of investing in BP?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.4% away).

Is BP overvalued or undervalued?

BP p.l.c. trades at a P/E of 37.7 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BP?

33 analysts cover BP with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $50.

What does BP p.l.c. do?BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, engages in the oil and gas business worldwide. The company operates through...

BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, engages in the oil and gas business worldwide. The company operates through Gas & Low Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products segments. It engages in the production of natural gas, marketing, and trading activities, as well as solar, wind, and hydrogen businesses. The company also offers aviation fuel products and services, such as jet fuel; aviation gasoline; UL91 aviation fuel; and sustainable aviation fuel. In addition, it engages in the convenience and retail fuel; EV charging; Castrol lubricants and fluids; B2B; midstream; crude oil production; refining and oil trading; and bioenergy businesses. The company was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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