Biglari Holdings Inc. (BH-A) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the BH-A stock price target?

Take-profit $1668.99 (+21.4% upside). Target $1668.99 (+21.4%), stop $1278.42 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in BH-A?

Market cap $0.89B below $1B minimum; Market cap $0.89B below $1B minimum; Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is BH-A overvalued or undervalued?

Biglari Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about BH-A?

6 analysts cover BH-A with a consensus score of 2.2/5.

Falling Knife setup

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 49 min ago (May 20, 2026, 5:12 PM ET)

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1374.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.89B below $1B minimum.

$1374.65+21.4% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#19 of 20 Restaurants

QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.20%

Stop $1278.42Target $1668.99(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1374.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.89B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Market cap $0.89B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Market cap $0.89B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)—

Mkt Cap$893M

EV/EBITDA14.9

Profit Mgn-4.7%

ROE-3.5%

Rev Growth2.6%

Beta0.63

DividendNone

Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.915%0.89

Quality3.615%0.54

Growth3.115%0.46

Momentum2.910%0.29

Sentiment5.010%0.50

Insider Activity7.410%0.74

Peer Rank2.510%0.25

Technical Setup5.35%0.27

Risk Profile6.25%0.31

Catalyst6.15%0.30

Overall (Σ contributions)4.55

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

0.0

Growth Rank

1.0

Value Rank

4.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd

0.0

Ma Position

2.2

Rsi

3.0

Volume

4.0

Obv

5.3

Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth

3.1

Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Roa

1.0

Operating Margin

1.2

Gross Margin

3.7

Moat

4.6

Current Ratio

8.4

Piotroski F

10.0

No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9

GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5INSIDER 1.84%=EXTREMEA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

29 · Oversold

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $1238.00Resistance $1703.05

Price Targets

$1278

$1669

A.Upside+21.4%

A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $0.89B below $1B minimum

! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Insider activity: 1.84%=extreme

Earnings

1/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is BH-A stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1374.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.89B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Market cap $0.89B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $1668.99 (+21.4%), stop $1278.42 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BH-A stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1668.99 (+21.4% upside). Target $1668.99 (+21.4%), stop $1278.42 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $1278.42.

What are the risks of investing in BH-A?

Market cap $0.89B below $1B minimum.

Is BH-A overvalued or undervalued?

Biglari Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BH-A?

6 analysts cover BH-A with a consensus score of 2.2/5.

What does Biglari Holdings Inc. do?Biglari Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, primarily operates and franchises restaurants in the United States....

Biglari Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, primarily operates and franchises restaurants in the United States. The company owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the Steak n Shake and Western Sizzlin names. It also engages in underwriting commercial truck insurance, including selling physical damage and non-trucking liability insurance to truckers; and property and casualty insurance and reinsurance. In addition, the company operates oil and natural gas properties offshore in Louisiana state waters and in the Permian Basin; and publishes, licenses, and sells magazines under the MAXIM brand names. Further, it involved investment activities. The company was formerly known as The Steak n Shake Company and changed its name to Biglari Holdings Inc. in April 2010. Biglari Holdings Inc. was founded in 1934 and is based in San Antonio, Texas.