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BGSIBoyd Group Services Inc.Sell6.1·$90.26
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Boyd Group is a fast-growing (30% YoY revenue) collision-repair consolidator with 48.6% analyst upside and rising-volume accumulation, but quality sits just under the floor and price remains in a confirmed downtrend with leverage and earnings in 10 days.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth Leader→Stable
  • Thin Margins Quality Below Floor→Stable
  • Large Analyst Upside Asymmetry↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-11). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $90.26: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Boyd Group Services Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates non-franchised collision repair centers in North America. The company operates its locations under the Boyd Autobody & Glass and Assured Automotive trade names in Canada, and Gerber Collision and Glass trade name... Read more

$90.26+38.2% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#1 of 15 Auto & Truck Dealerships
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield12.50%
IncomeYield0.49%(5y avg 0.29%)Payout99.58%at-risk
Stop $83.94Analyst target $124.70(−15% haircut)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst consensus$146.71+62.5%4 analysts with price targets
$124.70Analyst target
$90.26price
$146.71mean
$182

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $90.26: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Sep 18, 2026

Recent Developments — Boyd Group Services Inc.

Latest item Sep 18, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:06Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)200.6
P/E (Fwd)19.1
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn0.3%
ROE0.7%
Rev Growth29.9%
Beta0.64
Dividend0.49%
Analysts with ratings18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
1.3
Gap
5.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Net Margin
0.1
Roe
0.2
Operating Margin
1.7
Roa
2.0
Current Ratio
2.3
Gross Margin
5.3
Moat
5.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.2>=5.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
70 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $76.16Resistance $92.29

Price Targets

$84
$125
A.Upside+38.2%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BGSI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $90.26: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Prior stop was $83.94. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BGSI stock price target?

Analyst target: $124.70 (+38.2% upside). Prior stop was $83.94. Stop-loss: $83.94.

What are the risks of investing in BGSI?

Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is BGSI overvalued or undervalued?

Boyd Group Services Inc. trades at a P/E of 200.6 (forward 19.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BGSI?

18 analysts rate BGSI, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $147.

What does Boyd Group Services Inc. do?Boyd Group Services Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates non-franchised collision repair centers in North...

Boyd Group Services Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates non-franchised collision repair centers in North America. The company operates its locations under the Boyd Autobody & Glass and Assured Automotive trade names in Canada, and Gerber Collision and Glass trade name in the United States. It operates as a retail auto glass operator under the Gerber Collision and Glass, Glass America, Auto Glass Service, Auto Glass Authority, and Autoglassonly.com trade names in the United States. In addition, the company operates a third-party administrator, Gerber National Claims Services that offers glass, emergency roadside, and first notice of loss services; and a Mobile Auto Solutions service that offers scanning and calibration services. It serves insurance companies and individual vehicle owners. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Winnipeg, Canada.

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