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Rush Enterprises, Inc. (RUSHA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $69.10 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: PACCAR / Peterbilt.

Rush Enterprises operates 126 Rush Truck Centers in 23 US states and Canada, selling commercial vehicles (primarily Peterbilt and International brands), aftermarket parts, service, leasing, and financing. Revenue for 2025 was ~$7.4B, led by new vehicle sales (55.7%), aftermarket... Read more

$69.10+2.7% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#10 of 16 Auto & Truck Dealerships
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.89%
IncomeYield1.11%(5y avg 1.39%)Payout22.66%sustainable
Stop $65.47Target $71.19(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$83.75+21.2%4 analysts
$71.19our TP
$69.10price
$83.75mean
$89

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $69.10 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: PACCAR / Peterbilt. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Rush Enterprises, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: PACCAR / Peterbilt
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.7
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$5.3B
EV/EBITDA10.2
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE11.9%
Rev Growth-9.0%
Beta0.93
Dividend1.11%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierPACCAR / Peterbilt
    10-K Item 1A: 'the majority of our revenues resulted from sales of trucks purchased from Peterbilt and parts purchased from PACCAR Parts'
  • MEDIUMSupplierInternational Motors
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our revenues resulted from sales of trucks purchased from International'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-19Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Jason Wilder resigned as COO of Rush Enterprises effective March 18, 2026, to pursue other opportunities. No disagreement cited. Former COO McRoberts will assist during transition; search for new COO announced.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOW
    Jody Pollard, former SVP – Truck and Aftermarket Sales, appointed as COO of Rush Enterprises effective March 23, 2026. Internal promotion; compensation subject to Compensation Committee review.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02LOW
    Rush Enterprises Board approved cash bonuses and stock option grants for executive officers for fiscal year 2025 on March 4, 2026. Routine annual compensation approval.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -9.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.3
Earnings Growth
3.1
Declining revenue: -9%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
8.5
Uptrend pullback (RSI 30) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Value Rank
4.2
Quality Rank
5.3
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
30 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $67.37Resistance $76.79

Price Targets

$65
$71
A.Upside+3.0%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.6% upside)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RUSHA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $69.10 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: PACCAR / Peterbilt. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $65.47. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

What is the RUSHA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $71.19 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $65.47. Stop-loss: $65.47.

What are the risks of investing in RUSHA?

Concentration risk — Supplier: PACCAR / Peterbilt; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1).

Is RUSHA overvalued or undervalued?

Rush Enterprises, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.7 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RUSHA?

12 analysts cover RUSHA with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $84.

What does Rush Enterprises, Inc. do?Rush Enterprises operates 126 Rush Truck Centers in 23 US states and Canada, selling commercial vehicles (primarily...

Rush Enterprises operates 126 Rush Truck Centers in 23 US states and Canada, selling commercial vehicles (primarily Peterbilt and International brands), aftermarket parts, service, leasing, and financing. Revenue for 2025 was ~$7.4B, led by new vehicle sales (55.7%), aftermarket products/services (33.9%), and leasing (5%).

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