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Rush Enterprises, Inc. (RUSHA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $72.20 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Peterbilt and PACCAR.

Rush Enterprises operates 126 franchised commercial vehicle dealerships (Rush Truck Centers) in 23 US states plus Canada, primarily selling Peterbilt and International trucks alongside aftermarket parts, service, financing, and leasing. Revenue is driven by new and used... Read more

$72.20+4.5% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#9 of 16 Auto & Truck Dealerships
Stop $67.64Target $75.45(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$82.25+13.9%4 analysts
$75.45our TP
$72.20price
$82.25mean
$88

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $72.20 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Peterbilt and PACCAR. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Peterbilt and PACCAR
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.7
P/E (Fwd)15.9
Mkt Cap$5.6B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn3.5%
ROE12.1%
Rev Growth-11.8%
Beta0.89
Dividend1.00%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV50%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierPeterbilt and PACCAR
    10-K Item 1A: 'During 2025, the majority of our revenues resulted from sales of trucks purchased from Peterbilt and parts purchased from PACCAR Parts.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierInternational Motors
    10-K Item 1A: 'During 2025, a significant portion of our revenues resulted from sales of trucks purchased from International, buses purchased from IC Bus and parts purchased from International Motors.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOW
    Jody Pollard appointed COO of Rush Enterprises effective March 23, 2026, promoted from SVP Truck and Aftermarket Sales. No departure announced simultaneously.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-19Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Jason Wilder resigned as COO of Rush Enterprises on March 18, 2026 to pursue other opportunities. No permanent successor named at filing; McRoberts (former COO, Senior Advisor) to assist during transition. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02LOW
    Rush Enterprises Compensation Committee approved 2025 cash bonuses and 2026 stock option grants for named executive officers including CEO Rusty Rush ($3.5M bonus) and CFO Steven Keller. Routine compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
4.0
Quality Rank
5.5
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $64.30Resistance $76.99

Price Targets

$68
$75
A.Upside+4.5%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.2% upside)
! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RUSHA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $72.20 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Peterbilt and PACCAR. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $67.64. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RUSHA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $75.45 (+4.5% upside). Prior stop was $67.64. Stop-loss: $67.64.

What are the risks of investing in RUSHA?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Peterbilt and PACCAR; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is RUSHA overvalued or undervalued?

Rush Enterprises, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.7 (forward 15.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RUSHA?

11 analysts cover RUSHA with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $82.

What does Rush Enterprises, Inc. do?Rush Enterprises operates 126 franchised commercial vehicle dealerships (Rush Truck Centers) in 23 US states plus...

Rush Enterprises operates 126 franchised commercial vehicle dealerships (Rush Truck Centers) in 23 US states plus Canada, primarily selling Peterbilt and International trucks alongside aftermarket parts, service, financing, and leasing. Revenue is driven by new and used commercial vehicle sales and the higher-margin aftermarket services business.

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