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OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.Sell5.9·$36.76
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

OPENLANE has delivered strong earnings beats and solid growth, but the stock has run past its analyst price target near a 52-week high with negative implied upside, making the risk-reward unfavorable at current entry points.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Growth Combo↑Improving
  • Valuation At Peak Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Low Peg Growth Quality→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

OPENLANE, Inc. (OPLN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $36.76: Thin upside margin: 9.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

OPENLANE operates digital wholesale used vehicle marketplaces in the United States, Canada, and Europe, facilitating approximately 1.5 million transactions with $28.8 billion in gross merchandise value in 2025. Revenue comes from buyer/seller transaction fees (78% Marketplace... Read more

$36.76+9.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 15 Auto & Truck Dealerships
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.59%
Stop $34.96Analyst target $40.21(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst consensus$46.22+25.7%9 analysts with price targets
$40.21Analyst target
$36.76price
$46.22mean
$52

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $36.76: Thin upside margin: 9.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — OPENLANE, Inc.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.4%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)21.2
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA15.9
Profit Mgn9.7%
ROE11.1%
Rev Growth15.1%
Beta1.36
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV73%elevated
Max Pain$30-18.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesINSIDER 6.12%=EXTREMEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $34.59Resistance $40.16

Price Targets

$35
$40
A.Upside+9.4%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Insider activity: 6.12%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OPLN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $36.76: Thin upside margin: 9.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $34.96. Score 5.9/10, high confidence.

What is the OPLN stock price target?

Analyst target: $40.21 (+9.4% upside). Prior stop was $34.96. Stop-loss: $34.96.

What are the risks of investing in OPLN?

Thin upside margin: 9.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is OPLN overvalued or undervalued?

OPENLANE, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OPLN?

15 analysts rate OPLN, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 9 analysts publish price targets averaging $46.

What does OPENLANE, Inc. do?OPENLANE operates digital wholesale used vehicle marketplaces in the United States, Canada, and Europe, facilitating...

OPENLANE operates digital wholesale used vehicle marketplaces in the United States, Canada, and Europe, facilitating approximately 1.5 million transactions with $28.8 billion in gross merchandise value in 2025. Revenue comes from buyer/seller transaction fees (78% Marketplace segment) and floorplan financing to independent dealers through AFC subsidiary (22% Finance segment), with roughly 90 AFC locations across North America.

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