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OPENLANE, Inc. (OPLN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $31.59 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away).

OPENLANE is a digital marketplace for wholesale used vehicles in the U.S., Canada, and Europe, facilitating approximately 1.5 million annual vehicle transactions with $28.8 billion GMV in 2025. Revenue comes from buy/sell fees and ancillary services including SaaS remarketing... Read more

$31.59+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 16 Auto & Truck Dealerships
Stop $30.21Target $31.71(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$33.83+7.1%9 analysts
$31.71our TP
$31.59price
$33.83mean
$30
$38

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $31.59 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.4% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)20.2
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA14.2
Profit Mgn9.2%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth8.6%
Beta1.23
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV77%elevated
Max Pain$25-20.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-30Item 5.02LOW
    Sanjeev Mehra resigned from OPENLANE's Board of Directors effective January 29, 2026. No disagreement with the Company on any matter relating to its operations, policies or practices.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.9
Rsi
4.2
Ma Position
9.0
Overbought (RSI 77)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $29.06Resistance $32.36

Price Targets

$30
$32
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.8% upside)
! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OPLN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $31.59 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $30.21. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OPLN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.71 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $30.21. Stop-loss: $30.21.

What are the risks of investing in OPLN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0.

Is OPLN overvalued or undervalued?

OPENLANE, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 20.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OPLN?

15 analysts cover OPLN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $34.

What does OPENLANE, Inc. do?OPENLANE is a digital marketplace for wholesale used vehicles in the U.S., Canada, and Europe, facilitating...

OPENLANE is a digital marketplace for wholesale used vehicles in the U.S., Canada, and Europe, facilitating approximately 1.5 million annual vehicle transactions with $28.8 billion GMV in 2025. Revenue comes from buy/sell fees and ancillary services including SaaS remarketing software, transportation logistics, and floorplan financing through AFC. No single customer exceeded 10% of consolidated revenues in 2025.

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