Valvoline is an automotive quick-lube service company with 25% revenue growth, 32% return on equity, and a recovery technical pattern with improving MACD, but the stock has already reached its analyst price target with essentially zero upside remaining, a risk score below the minimum threshold at 2.7, and 14% short interest combined with a 4.60 put/call ratio signaling intense bearish conviction.
Thesis pillars
- Strong Growth High Roe→Stable
- Target Reached Extreme Options Risk→Stable
- Recovery Pattern Overbought Signal→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Valvoline Inc. (VVV) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5.
Valvoline Inc. is a leader in automotive preventive maintenance delivering convenient and trusted services in its retail stores throughout the United States ("U.S.") and Canada. The terms "Valvoline," the "Company," "we," "us," "management," and "our" as used herein refer to... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — Valvoline Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Valvoline earnings test: Can pricing power offset rising costs? By Investing.com - Investing.com India — Investing.com India positive
- NEWS How The Valvoline (VVV) Investment Story Is Shifting With Conflicting Analyst Signals - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Valvoline (VVV) Q2 2026 Earnings Transcript - AOL.com — AOL.com neutral
- NEWS Valvoline (VVV) Tops Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Earnings Flash (VVV) Valvoline Inc. Posts Q2 Adjusted EPS $0.41 per Share, vs. FactSet Est of $0.34 - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
Generated 2026-07-07T15:22:26Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $36.43. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $39.45 (+1.8% upside). Prior stop was $36.43. Stop-loss: $36.43.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Valvoline Inc. trades at a P/E of 52.1 (forward 18.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover VVV with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $42.
What does Valvoline Inc. do?Valvoline Inc. is a leader in automotive preventive maintenance delivering convenient and trusted services in its...
Valvoline Inc. is a leader in automotive preventive maintenance delivering convenient and trusted services in its retail stores throughout the United States ("U.S.") and Canada. The terms "Valvoline," the "Company," "we," "us," "management," and "our" as used herein refer to Valvoline Inc., its predecessors and its consolidated subsidiaries, except where the context indicates otherwise.