Skip to main content

BGC Group, Inc. (BGC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

BGC Group is a global inter-dealer broker and financial technology company in financial markets (rates, credit, FX, equities) and energy/commodities/shipping (ECS), operating via voice, hybrid, and Fenics fully-electronic platforms. Fenics represented 22.4% of total 2025... Read more

$11.31+16.4% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#5 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.70%(5y avg 0.82%)Payout21.62%sustainable
Stop $10.63Target $13.17(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$15.50+37.0%2 analysts
$13.17our TP
$11.31price
$15.50mean
$16

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — BGC Group, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.8
P/E (Fwd)7.1
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn5.9%
ROE14.6%
Rev Growth44.3%
Beta0.98
Dividend0.70%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.23bullish
IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomertop-10 customers24%
    10-K Item 1: 'our top ten customers, collectively, accounted for approximately 23.6% of our total revenue on a consolidated basis'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.4
Value Rank
4.5
Growth Rank
7.3
GatesMomentum 5.5>=5.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.54Resistance $11.64

Price Targets

$11
$13
A.Upside+16.4%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts6
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$16

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BGC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $13.17 (+16.4%), stop $10.63 (−6.4%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BGC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.17 (+16.4% upside). Target $13.17 (+16.4%), stop $10.63 (−6.4%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Stop-loss: $10.63.

What are the risks of investing in BGC?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is BGC overvalued or undervalued?

BGC Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.8 (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BGC?

6 analysts cover BGC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $16.

What does BGC Group, Inc. do?BGC Group is a global inter-dealer broker and financial technology company in financial markets (rates, credit, FX,...

BGC Group is a global inter-dealer broker and financial technology company in financial markets (rates, credit, FX, equities) and energy/commodities/shipping (ECS), operating via voice, hybrid, and Fenics fully-electronic platforms. Fenics represented 22.4% of total 2025 revenues; post-OTC Global acquisition, BGC is the world's largest energy, commodities, and shipping broker by revenue.

Related stocks: FUTU (Futu Holdings Limited) · TIGR (UP Fintech Holding Limited) · VIRT (Virtu Financial, Inc.) · EVR (Evercore Inc.) · MRX (Marex Group plc)