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AVPTAvePoint, Inc.Sell6.0·$10.68-0.56%
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AvePoint, Inc. (AVPT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.68: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.17; Below long-term trend. (Note: Risk dimension 2.9/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.)

AvePoint provides SaaS-based cloud data protection, governance, and resilience solutions for Microsoft 365, Salesforce, Google, AWS, and other cloud platforms, serving 28,000+ customers across 100+ countries. Enterprise segment (>5,000 seats) accounts for 52% of annual recurring... Read more

$10.68+31.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#17 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.02%
Stop $9.93Target $14.03(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$16.13+51.0%13 analysts
$14.03our TP
$10.68price
$16.13mean
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.68: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.17; Below long-term trend. (Note: Risk dimension 2.9/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)53.7
P/E (Fwd)21.6
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA37.6
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth26.0%
Beta1.16
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.17bearish
IV83%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Volatility
2.3
Days To Cover
5.0
Beta
6.3
Short Interest
6.9
Elevated put/call: 2.17High IV: 83%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.6
Bollinger
3.7
Support Resistance
4.5
Gap
6.0
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.52Resistance $11.62

Price Targets

$10
$14
A.Upside+31.4%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVPT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.68: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.17; Below long-term trend. (Note: Risk dimension 2.9/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Prior stop was $9.93. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AVPT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.03 (+31.4% upside). Prior stop was $9.93. Stop-loss: $9.93.

What are the risks of investing in AVPT?

Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0).

Is AVPT overvalued or undervalued?

AvePoint, Inc. trades at a P/E of 53.7 (forward 21.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AVPT?

20 analysts cover AVPT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $16.

What does AvePoint, Inc. do?AvePoint provides SaaS-based cloud data protection, governance, and resilience solutions for Microsoft 365, Salesforce,...

AvePoint provides SaaS-based cloud data protection, governance, and resilience solutions for Microsoft 365, Salesforce, Google, AWS, and other cloud platforms, serving 28,000+ customers across 100+ countries. Enterprise segment (>5,000 seats) accounts for 52% of annual recurring revenue; mid-market 28% and SMB 20%. No customer represents more than 10% of billings or accounts receivable.

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