AvePoint, Inc. (AVPT) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.55 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).
AvePoint provides the AvePoint Confidence Platform, a cloud-based suite for data governance, backup, and modernization across Microsoft 365, Salesforce, Google, and other cloud ecosystems. Revenue is SaaS subscription-based, delivered through direct sales and channel... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.55 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerdistribution partners10-K Item 1A: 'We also rely on distribution partners, especially for our SMB market customer acquisition. We expect that sales to partners will account for a substantial portion of our revenue'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.55 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Prior stop was $8.91. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $14.47 (+51.0% upside). Prior stop was $8.91. Stop-loss: $8.91.
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
AvePoint, Inc. trades at a P/E of 66.1 (forward 20.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover AVPT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $17.
What does AvePoint, Inc. do?AvePoint provides the AvePoint Confidence Platform, a cloud-based suite for data governance, backup, and modernization...
AvePoint provides the AvePoint Confidence Platform, a cloud-based suite for data governance, backup, and modernization across Microsoft 365, Salesforce, Google, and other cloud ecosystems. Revenue is SaaS subscription-based, delivered through direct sales and channel partnerships targeting SMB and enterprise customers, with channel partners expected to drive a substantial portion of revenue.