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AvePoint, Inc. (AVPT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $10.43: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

AvePoint provides SaaS-based cloud data protection, governance, and resilience solutions for Microsoft 365, Salesforce, Google, AWS, and other cloud platforms, serving 28,000+ customers across 100+ countries. Enterprise segment (>5,000 seats) accounts for 52% of annual recurring... Read more

$10.43+37.1% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#17 of 78 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.27%
Stop $9.51Target $14.03(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$16.13+54.6%13 analysts
$14.03our TP
$10.43price
$16.13mean
$26

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $10.43: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — AvePoint, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 37%
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)50.6
P/E (Fwd)20.4
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA35.0
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth26.0%
Beta1.16
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.32bullish
IV55%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.1
Bollinger
4.4
Gap
5.0
Support Resistance
5.9
GatesMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.2>=4.5A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.38Resistance $11.46

Price Targets

$10
$14
A.Upside+34.5%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts20
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$16

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVPT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $10.43: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $9.51. Score 6.3/10, high confidence.

What is the AVPT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.03 (+37.1% upside). Prior stop was $9.51. Stop-loss: $9.51.

What are the risks of investing in AVPT?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is AVPT overvalued or undervalued?

AvePoint, Inc. trades at a P/E of 50.6 (forward 20.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AVPT?

20 analysts cover AVPT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $16.

What does AvePoint, Inc. do?AvePoint provides SaaS-based cloud data protection, governance, and resilience solutions for Microsoft 365, Salesforce,...

AvePoint provides SaaS-based cloud data protection, governance, and resilience solutions for Microsoft 365, Salesforce, Google, AWS, and other cloud platforms, serving 28,000+ customers across 100+ countries. Enterprise segment (>5,000 seats) accounts for 52% of annual recurring revenue; mid-market 28% and SMB 20%. No customer represents more than 10% of billings or accounts receivable.

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