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AVOMission Produce, Inc.Sell5.1·$12.49+0.44%
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Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.49: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 38.57; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Mission Produce, Inc. engages in the sourcing, farming, packaging, marketing, and distribution of avocados, mangoes, and blueberries to food retailers, wholesalers, and foodservice customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments,... Read more

$12.49+12.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#3 of 7 Food Distribution
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.02%
Stop $11.62Target $14.03(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$16.50+32.1%4 analysts
$14.03our TP
$12.49price
$16.50mean
$18

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.49: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 38.57; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 9, 202667d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.0
P/E (Fwd)15.0
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA14.2
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE4.0%
Rev Growth-23.5%
Beta0.49
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C38.57bearish

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
0.8
Quality Rank
3.6

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.1
52w Position
6.1

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.9
Roe
1.3
Roa
2.4
Moat
3.9
Current Ratio
6.7
Piotroski F
7.8
Fcf Quality
9.9
Excellent cash conversion: 146% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.07Resistance $12.72

Price Targets

$12
$14
A.Upside+12.3%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-09 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.49: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 38.57; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $11.62. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AVO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.03 (+12.3% upside). Prior stop was $11.62. Stop-loss: $11.62.

What are the risks of investing in AVO?

Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is AVO overvalued or undervalued?

Mission Produce, Inc. trades at a P/E of 39.0 (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AVO?

7 analysts cover AVO with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Mission Produce, Inc. do?Mission Produce, Inc. engages in the sourcing, farming, packaging, marketing, and distribution of avocados, mangoes,...

Mission Produce, Inc. engages in the sourcing, farming, packaging, marketing, and distribution of avocados, mangoes, and blueberries to food retailers, wholesalers, and foodservice customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments, Marketing and Distribution; International Farming; and Blueberries. It also provides ripening, bagging, custom packing, logistical management, and quality assurance services. In addition, the company offers merchandising and promotional support, and insights on market trends, and training services. Mission Produce, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Oxnard, California.

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