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AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-08). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $93.59, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold, as well as by-products, including silver and sulphuric acid. The company's flagship property includes 100% owned the Geita mine located in the Lake Victoria... Read more

$93.59+12.3% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#12 of 32 Gold
Stop $87.42Target $104.90(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$120.57+28.8%7 analysts
$104.90our TP
$93.59price
$120.57mean
$75
$155

Sell if holding. At $93.59, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (4)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.5
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$45.7B
EV/EBITDA8.6
Profit Mgn26.6%
ROE34.4%
Rev Growth75.3%
Beta0.68
Dividend4.70%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C3.29bearish
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.3
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 29)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $90.12Resistance $113.30

Price Targets

$87
$105
A.Upside+12.1%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-2: STRONG_BUY_WAIT → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-08 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $93.59, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $87.42. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $104.90 (+12.3% upside). Prior stop was $87.42. Stop-loss: $87.42.

What are the risks of investing in AU?

Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (4); Negative momentum.

Is AU overvalued or undervalued?

AngloGold Ashanti PLC trades at a P/E of 17.5 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AU?

16 analysts cover AU with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $121.

What does AngloGold Ashanti PLC do?AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold,...

AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold, as well as by-products, including silver and sulphuric acid. The company's flagship property includes 100% owned the Geita mine located in the Lake Victoria goldfields of the Geita region in northwestern Tanzania. AngloGold Ashanti plc was incorporated in 1944 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.

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