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AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $87.63. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $90.24. Engine's entry $87.63 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold, as well as by-products, including silver and sulphuric acid. The company's flagship property includes 100% owned the Geita mine located in the Lake Victoria... Read more

$90.24+18.9% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#10 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.88%
IncomeYield5.15%(5y avg 2.06%)Payout52.35%sustainable
Entry $87.63(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $77.90Target $107.26(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.7:1Setup A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$123.29+36.6%7 analysts
$107.26our TP
$90.24price
$123.29mean
$75
$155

Wait for pullback to $87.63. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $90.24. Engine's entry $87.63 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Val8.5Qual9.1Grw10.0Mom2.1Sent6.4Ins5.0Peer3.7Tech6.5Risk6.96.8OVERALL

Recent Developments — AngloGold Ashanti PLC

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=9.1 in RISK_OFF)
Contrarian signal: extreme negativity (-0.70) on quality business
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.1
P/E (Fwd)8.2
Mkt Cap$45.2B
EV/EBITDA7.0
Profit Mgn31.1%
ROE43.0%
Rev Growth64.9%
Beta0.62
Dividend5.15%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.85neutral
IV58%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.0
Value Rank
5.1
Quality Rank
6.8
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $87.75Resistance $111.98

Price Targets

$78
$88
$107
A.Upside+18.9%
A.R:R1.7:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.3%
Max %2.6%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AU stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $87.63. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $90.24. Engine's entry $87.63 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Target $107.26 (+18.9%), stop $77.90 (−15.8%), Setup A.R:R 3.4:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $107.26 (+18.9% upside). Target $107.26 (+18.9%), stop $77.90 (−15.8%), Setup A.R:R 3.4:1. Stop-loss: $77.90.

What are the risks of investing in AU?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Is AU overvalued or undervalued?

AngloGold Ashanti PLC trades at a P/E of 13.1 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AU?

16 analysts cover AU with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $123.

What does AngloGold Ashanti PLC do?AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold,...

AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold, as well as by-products, including silver and sulphuric acid. The company's flagship property includes 100% owned the Geita mine located in the Lake Victoria goldfields of the Geita region in northwestern Tanzania. AngloGold Ashanti plc was incorporated in 1944 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.

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