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AUAngloGold Ashanti PLCBuy Wait6.8·$81.41
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AngloGold Ashanti is a high-quality, cheaply valued gold miner (forward P/E 8.6x, ROE 45%) with 23.3% upside to the analyst target, but it has missed earnings in 3 of the last 4 quarters and is in an oversold downtrend with results due in 4 days.

Thesis pillars

  • Oversold Pullback Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • High Quality Wide Moat→Stable
  • Deep Value Low Multiple→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) Stock Analysis

Sector Rotation edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Earnings in 1 day (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $78.17. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $81.41. Engine's entry $78.17 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold, as well as by-products, including silver and sulphuric acid. The company's flagship property includes 100% owned the Geita mine located in the Lake Victoria... Read more

$81.41+22.0% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#12 of 45 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield9.61%
IncomeYield5.55%(5y avg 1.72%)Payout61.66%
Entry $78.17(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $72.70Target $99.33(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst consensus$114.17+40.2%9 analysts with price targets
$99.33our TP
$81.41price
$114.17mean
$138

Wait for pullback to $78.17. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $81.41. Engine's entry $78.17 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — AngloGold Ashanti PLC

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:29:27Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=9.1 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.0
P/E (Fwd)9.0
Mkt Cap$41.2B
EV/EBITDA5.9
Profit Mgn32.2%
ROE44.7%
Rev Growth27.0%
Beta0.75
Dividend5.55%
Analysts with ratings16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C2.47bearish
IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·3 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
2.6
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 1 dayDividend: 5.5%
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dA.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $78.20Resistance $95.16

Price Targets

$73
$78
$99
A.Upside+22.0%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.9%
Max %3.8%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:1d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AU stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $78.17. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $81.41. Engine's entry $78.17 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $99.33 (+22.0%), stop $72.70 (−12.0%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $99.33 (+22.0% upside). Target $99.33 (+22.0%), stop $72.70 (−12.0%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $72.70.

What are the risks of investing in AU?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is AU overvalued or undervalued?

AngloGold Ashanti PLC trades at a P/E of 11.0 (forward 9.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AU?

16 analysts rate AU, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 9 analysts publish price targets averaging $114.

What does AngloGold Ashanti PLC do?AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold,...

AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold, as well as by-products, including silver and sulphuric acid. The company's flagship property includes 100% owned the Geita mine located in the Lake Victoria goldfields of the Geita region in northwestern Tanzania. AngloGold Ashanti plc was incorporated in 1944 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.

Related stocks: GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · PAAS (Pan American Silver Corp.) · B (Barrick Mining Corporation)
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