Value
8.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.5 |
| P/S | 7.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.5 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 8.3x
- ▸PEG: 0.04
- ▸Attractively valued
AU · Why this verdict
Why AngloGold Ashanti (AU) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score7.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
9.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 6.7 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 9.1 |
| FCF quality | 7.1 |
| Moat | 9.0 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 43%
- ▸Strong margins: 31%
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 65% YoY
Momentum
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 2.8 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 7.0 |
| Volume | 2.2 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
7.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 8.0 |
| Analyst rating | 6.7 |
| Price target | 8.7 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.60 (n=1)
- ▸Light analyst coverage (7.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 32%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.7/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.1 |
| quality rank | 6.8 |
| growth rank | 3.0 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
3.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 3.7 |
| support resistance | 3.1 |
| 52w position | 4.9 |
| gap | 3.0 |
- ▸Extreme gap up (8.7%) - may pull back
Risk (lower is worse)
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.4 |
| days to cover | 8.6 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 1.0 |
| beta | 9.2 |
| debt equity | 9.1 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 2.25
- ▸High IV: 74%
Catalyst
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 3.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.5 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
- ▸Dividend: 533.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
V9 Gate blocked: R/R 1.0x at spot < 1.5 minimum; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_C_QUALITY_VALUE->V9:POOR_ASYMMETRY|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLEPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.5>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_BOOST:ANALYST:0.60
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:45d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- ASYMMETRY:1.0<1.5@spot
- SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.97
Upside
+14.5%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The C-path quality+value combination triggered the STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict: quality 9.1 and value 8.3 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of 0.97 supporting the read.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Quality at 9.1, and Value at 8.3; the weakest are Technical at 3.7, Peer rank at 3.7, and Catalyst at 4.1. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.97 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.