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ATSATS CorporationSell5.9·$28.47+2.85%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ATS Corporation's exceptional free cash flow conversion and industry-leading growth position it attractively on a valuation basis, but inconsistent earnings delivery and a failed momentum threshold create near-term uncertainty about whether the fundamental strength will translate into price appreciation.

Thesis pillars

  • Industry Growth LeadershipStable
  • Excellent Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Earnings Delivery InconsistencyStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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ATS Corporation (ATS) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.47: Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.50; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

ATS Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the planning, designing, building, commissioning, and servicing of automated manufacturing and assembly systems worldwide. The company offers pre-automation services comprising discovery and analysis, concept... Read more

$28.47+0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#9 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield13.18%
Stop $26.55Target $28.70(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.47: Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.50; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — ATS Corporation

Generated 2026-07-07T10:21:36Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)54.3
P/E (Fwd)17.1
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn2.4%
ROE4.1%
Rev Growth30.1%
Beta1.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C10.50bearish
IV82%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Days To Cover
0.2
Volatility
4.1
Beta
6.0
Debt Equity
6.1
Elevated put/call: 10.50High IV: 82%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.9
Support Resistance
2.6
52w Position
5.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
1.6
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.17Resistance $29.29

Price Targets

$27
$29
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.47: Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.50; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $26.55. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.70 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $26.55. Stop-loss: $26.55.

What are the risks of investing in ATS?

Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0).

Is ATS overvalued or undervalued?

ATS Corporation trades at a P/E of 54.3 (forward 17.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATS?

11 analysts cover ATS with a consensus score of 3.9/5.

What does ATS Corporation do?ATS Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the planning, designing, building, commissioning, and...

ATS Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the planning, designing, building, commissioning, and servicing of automated manufacturing and assembly systems worldwide. The company offers pre-automation services comprising discovery and analysis, concept development, simulation, and total cost of ownership modeling; post-automation services, including training, process optimization, preventive maintenance, emergency and on-call support, spare parts, retooling, retrofits, and equipment relocation; and contract manufacturing services, as well as after-sales services. It also provides engineering design, prototyping, process verification, specification writing, software and manufacturing process controls development, standard automation products and platforms, equipment design and build, third-party equipment qualification, procurement and integration, automation system installation, product line commissioning, validation, and documentation services. In addition, the company offers value engineering, supply chain management, and integration and manufacturing capabilities, as well as other automation products and solutions; and software and digital solutions comprising connected factory floor management systems to capture, analyze, and use real-time machine performance data to troubleshoot issues, deliver process and product solutions, prevent equipment downtime, drive operational efficiency, and unlock performance for sustainable production improvements. It serves the life sciences, transportation and mobility, consumer products, food and beverage, electronics, nuclear, packaging, warehousing and distribution, and energy markets. The company was formerly known as ATS Automation Tooling Systems Inc. and changed its name to ATS Corporation in November 2022. ATS Corporation was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Canada.

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