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Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ARWR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $73.15: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.90; Below-average business quality.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals is an RNAi therapeutics company with 18 clinical-stage candidates and one approved product, REDEMPLO (plozasiran) for Familial Chylomicronemia Syndrome, commercially launched in 2025. Revenue comes from milestone and royalty payments under collaboration... Read more

$73.15+3.7% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#152 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-0.43%
Stop $68.77Target $76.71(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$88.17+20.5%12 analysts
$76.71our TP
$73.15price
$88.17mean
$46
$110

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $73.15: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.90; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-17.7
Mkt Cap$10.8B
EV/EBITDA-52.8
Profit Mgn-48.4%
ROE-42.4%
Rev Growth-86.4%
Beta1.29
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.90bearish
IV70%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.0
Quality Rank
2.2
Value Rank
3.2

Volatile — 5.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.7
Implied Vol
1.7
Debt Equity
2.7
Days To Cover
3.0
Short Interest
3.6
Beta
5.8
Elevated put/call: 1.90High IV: 70%

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Analyst Target
5.0
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -48.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
6.8
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -7% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: -94 (fail)Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $68.97Resistance $82.26

Price Targets

$69
$77
A.Upside+4.9%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ARWR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $73.15: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.90; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $68.77. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

What is the ARWR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $76.71 (+3.7% upside). Prior stop was $68.77. Stop-loss: $68.77.

What are the risks of investing in ARWR?

Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is ARWR overvalued or undervalued?

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -17.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ARWR?

19 analysts cover ARWR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $88.

What does Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals is an RNAi therapeutics company with 18 clinical-stage candidates and one approved product,...

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals is an RNAi therapeutics company with 18 clinical-stage candidates and one approved product, REDEMPLO (plozasiran) for Familial Chylomicronemia Syndrome, commercially launched in 2025. Revenue comes from milestone and royalty payments under collaboration agreements with Sarepta, Amgen, Takeda, GSK, and Novartis, plus initial REDEMPLO product sales.

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