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Archrock, Inc. (AROC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.78 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.4% away).

Archrock is a U.S. energy infrastructure company and premier natural gas compression services provider by total fleet horsepower. Two segments: Contract Operations (owning and operating compression equipment) and Aftermarket Services (maintenance/overhaul for customer-owned... Read more

$38.78-1.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 32 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Stop $36.71Target $38.09(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$39.67+2.3%9 analysts
$38.09our TP
$38.78price
$39.67mean
$38
$42

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.78 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.4% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-0.4% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.8
P/E (Fwd)16.6
Mkt Cap$6.7B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn21.6%
ROE22.9%
Rev Growth15.5%
Beta0.90
Dividend2.18%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerfive most significant customers35%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our five most significant customers collectively accounted for 35%, 35% and 33% of our revenues during the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02HIGH
    CFO Douglas S. Aron notified company of retirement intention. Will serve as SVP and CFO until successor named or December 31, 2026. No successor named as of filing. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-24Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee adopted 2026 Short-Term Incentive Program setting cash incentive targets for NEOs: CEO 125%, CFO 90%, other SVPs 75% of eligible earnings, with payouts ranging 0-200% of target.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.55Resistance $38.87

Price Targets

$37
$38
A.Upside-1.8%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AROC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.78 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.4% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $36.71. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AROC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.09 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $36.71. Stop-loss: $36.71.

What are the risks of investing in AROC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.4% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is AROC overvalued or undervalued?

Archrock, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 16.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AROC?

15 analysts cover AROC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Archrock, Inc. do?Archrock is a U.S. energy infrastructure company and premier natural gas compression services provider by total fleet...

Archrock is a U.S. energy infrastructure company and premier natural gas compression services provider by total fleet horsepower. Two segments: Contract Operations (owning and operating compression equipment) and Aftermarket Services (maintenance/overhaul for customer-owned equipment). Sixty percent of operating fleet serves gathering/processing applications and 40% serves gas lift.

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