Skip to main content
APHAmphenol CorporationBuy Wait6.2·$145.60+4.89%
Open full analysis

Amphenol Corporation (APH) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Wait for pullback to $134.56. At $145.60 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $134.56 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Amphenol is one of the world's largest designers and manufacturers of connectors, interconnect systems, antennas, sensors, and specialty cable across three segments: Communications Solutions (52% of 2025 sales), Harsh Environment Solutions (26%), and Interconnect and Sensor... Read more

$145.60+18.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#2 of 24 Electronic Components
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.02%
IncomeYield0.70%(5y avg 0.84%)Payout23.85%sustainable
Entry $134.56(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $121.87Target $164.05(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1Setup A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$182.28+25.2%18 analysts
$164.05our TP
$145.60price
$182.28mean
$135
$215

Wait for pullback to $134.56. At $145.60 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $134.56 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.19, quality 7.7/10, growth 8.4/10). Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.9
P/E (Fwd)25.3
Mkt Cap$176.7B
EV/EBITDA23.4
Profit Mgn17.2%
ROE36.8%
Rev Growth58.4%
Beta1.27
Dividend0.70%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.26bullish
IV73%elevated
Max Pain$240+64.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicChina16%
    10-K Item 1A: 'During 2025, non-U.S. markets constituted approximately 65% of the Company's net sales, with China constituting approximately 16% of the Company's net sales.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $118.01Resistance $151.92

Price Targets

$122
$135
$164
A.Upside+12.7%
A.R:R0.9:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APH stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $134.56. At $145.60 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $134.56 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.19, quality 7.7/10, growth 8.4/10). Target $164.05 (+12.7%), stop $121.87 (−19.5%), Setup A.R:R 2.7:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $164.05 (+18.9% upside). Target $164.05 (+12.7%), stop $121.87 (−19.5%), Setup A.R:R 2.7:1. Stop-loss: $121.87.

What are the risks of investing in APH?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is APH overvalued or undervalued?

Amphenol Corporation trades at a P/E of 39.9 (forward 25.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about APH?

24 analysts cover APH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $182.

What does Amphenol Corporation do?Amphenol is one of the world's largest designers and manufacturers of connectors, interconnect systems, antennas,...

Amphenol is one of the world's largest designers and manufacturers of connectors, interconnect systems, antennas, sensors, and specialty cable across three segments: Communications Solutions (52% of 2025 sales), Harsh Environment Solutions (26%), and Interconnect and Sensor Systems (22%). No single customer exceeded 10% of 2025 net sales; China represented ~16% of net sales and ~37% of long-lived assets.

Related stocks: CLS (Celestica, Inc.) · TEL (TE Connectivity plc) · FN (Fabrinet) · TTMI (TTM Technologies, Inc.) · JBL (Jabil Inc.)
Home Stocks APH

Latest news

Latest News

Investing.com India5d agoCONCERN
Quiver Quantitative41d agoEarnings
StockStory41d ago
GuruFocus41d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha41d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance41d ago
Quiver Quantitative41d agoEarnings
GuruFocus13d ago
Quiver Quantitative48d ago
Yahoo Finance48d ago
MSN48d ago
Msn.com48d ago
Yahoo Finance48d ago
MarketBeat49d agoEarnings
Benzinga27d ago
Yahoo Finance27d agoEarnings
GuruFocus62d ago
Yahoo Finance62d ago
MarketBeat35d ago
MarketBeat35d ago
Loading more...