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FLEXFlex Ltd.Sell5.0·$147.21-1.35%
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Flex Ltd. (FLEX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $147.21 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier for certain components.

Flex Ltd. provides contract manufacturing services across three segments — Integrated Technology Solutions, Regulated Manufacturing Solutions, and Cloud and Power Infrastructure — via 100+ facilities in roughly 30 countries with approximately 150,000 employees. Revenue is earned... Read more

$147.21+11.3% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#21 of 24 Electronic Components
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield1.54%
Stop $136.64Target $163.52(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$160.40+9.0%10 analysts
$163.52our TP
$147.21price
$160.40mean
$80
$203

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $147.21 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier for certain components. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier for certain components
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 5.0/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)64.0
P/E (Fwd)21.5
Mkt Cap$54.7B
EV/EBITDA27.5
Profit Mgn3.2%
ROE17.3%
Rev Growth16.9%
Beta1.64
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV88%elevated
Max Pain$70-52.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerten largest customers45%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our ten largest customers accounted for 45%, 44% and 37% of net sales in fiscal years 2026, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicNorth America44%
    10-K Item 1: '44% of net sales in North America...in our fiscal year ended March 31, 2026'
  • LOWGeographicChina16%
    10-K Item 1: '16% in China...in our fiscal year ended March 31, 2026'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle supplier for certain components
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain components that we use are sourced from a limited number of suppliers, and in some cases from a single supplier'
  • MEDIUMCustomerhyperscale cloud providers in CPI
    10-K Item 1A: 'a limited number of hyperscale cloud providers...represent a substantial portion of demand'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.8
Quality Rank
5.0
Value Rank
5.5

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.8
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $121.30Resistance $166.86

Price Targets

$137
$164
A.Upside+11.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.0% upside)
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLEX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $147.21 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier for certain components. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $136.64. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $163.52 (+11.3% upside). Prior stop was $136.64. Stop-loss: $136.64.

What are the risks of investing in FLEX?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier for certain components; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

Is FLEX overvalued or undervalued?

Flex Ltd. trades at a P/E of 64.0 (forward 21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLEX?

19 analysts cover FLEX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $160.

What does Flex Ltd. do?Flex Ltd. provides contract manufacturing services across three segments — Integrated Technology Solutions, Regulated...

Flex Ltd. provides contract manufacturing services across three segments — Integrated Technology Solutions, Regulated Manufacturing Solutions, and Cloud and Power Infrastructure — via 100+ facilities in roughly 30 countries with approximately 150,000 employees. Revenue is earned from manufacturing, design, supply chain, and aftermarket services across data center, healthcare, automotive, industrial, and communications markets; the ten largest customers represented 45% of FY2026 net sales.

Related stocks: CLS (Celestica, Inc.) · TEL (TE Connectivity plc) · FN (Fabrinet) · JBL (Jabil Inc.) · APH (Amphenol Corporation)
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