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Jabil Inc. (JBL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $333.98 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: limited number of customers.

Jabil is a leading provider of engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain solutions across three segments: Regulated Industries, Intelligent Infrastructure, and Connected Living and Digital Commerce, with facilities worldwide including China, Malaysia, Mexico, and the US. It... Read more

$333.98+1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#8 of 24 Electronic Components
Stop $313.14Target $339.30(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$311.00-6.9%9 analysts
$339.30our TP
$333.98price
$311.00mean
$273
$355

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $333.98 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: limited number of customers. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 47d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: limited number of customers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)45.1
P/E (Fwd)22.9
Mkt Cap$35.2B
EV/EBITDA15.9
Profit Mgn2.5%
ROE59.7%
Rev Growth23.1%
Beta1.16
Dividend0.10%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.19bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$170-49.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our manufacturing, design, support and storage operations are conducted in our facilities in China'
  • HIGHCustomerlimited number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We currently depend, and expect to continue to depend for the foreseeable future, upon a relatively small number of customers for a significant percentage of our net revenue'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-28Item 5.02LOW
    Thomas T. Edman and Raejeanne Skillern appointed to Jabil's Board of Directors effective January 22, 2026 following the 2026 Annual Meeting. Both determined to be independent. Edman joins Audit and Cybersecurity Committees; Skillern joins Audit Committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 47d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
82 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $261.15Resistance $346.22

Price Targets

$313
$339
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-16 (47d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $333.98 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: limited number of customers. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $313.14. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JBL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $339.30 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $313.14. Stop-loss: $313.14.

What are the risks of investing in JBL?

Concentration risk — Customer: limited number of customers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.6% away).

Is JBL overvalued or undervalued?

Jabil Inc. trades at a P/E of 45.1 (forward 22.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JBL?

17 analysts cover JBL with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $311.

What does Jabil Inc. do?Jabil is a leading provider of engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain solutions across three segments: Regulated...

Jabil is a leading provider of engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain solutions across three segments: Regulated Industries, Intelligent Infrastructure, and Connected Living and Digital Commerce, with facilities worldwide including China, Malaysia, Mexico, and the US. It generated $29.8 billion in net revenues in fiscal 2025 serving customers in automotive, healthcare, cloud, networking, and consumer electronics. Global scale enables customers to reduce manufacturing costs and accelerate time-to-market.

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