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APEIAmerican Public Education, Inc.Hold5.7·$48.15
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

APEI has delivered a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with strong growth and positive momentum, but having already reached its analyst price target alongside modest insider selling and defensive options positioning, the risk/reward from here looks balanced rather than compelling.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Volume Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Strong Growth Profile→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

American Public Education, Inc. (APEI) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $48.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Overbought (RSI 81).

Our institutions offer purpose-built education programs designed to prepare individuals for productive contributions to their professions and society and to offer opportunities designed to advance students in their current professions or to help them prepare for their next... Read more

$48.15+13.5% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#10 of 14 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.83%
Stop $44.95Target $54.66(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$62.83+30.5%6 analysts
$54.66our TP
$48.15price
$62.83mean
$70

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $48.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Overbought (RSI 81). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202628d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Weak growth
Overbought (RSI 81)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.3
P/E (Fwd)12.7
Mkt Cap$876M
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn6.8%
ROE15.6%
Rev Growth5.5%
Beta1.41
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
0.5
52w Position
5.6

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.1
Growth Rank
3.3
Value Rank
4.4

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.9
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
81 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $40.05Resistance $48.43

Price Targets

$45
$55
A.Upside+13.5%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APEI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $48.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Overbought (RSI 81). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $54.66 (+13.5%), stop $44.95 (−7.1%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APEI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $54.66 (+13.5% upside). Target $54.66 (+13.5%), stop $44.95 (−7.1%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $44.95.

What are the risks of investing in APEI?

Weak growth; Overbought (RSI 81).

Is APEI overvalued or undervalued?

American Public Education, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.3 (forward 12.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about APEI?

14 analysts cover APEI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $63.

What does American Public Education, Inc. do?Our institutions offer purpose-built education programs designed to prepare individuals for productive contributions to...

Our institutions offer purpose-built education programs designed to prepare individuals for productive contributions to their professions and society and to offer opportunities designed to advance students in their current professions or to help them prepare for their next career.

Related stocks: PXED (Phoenix Education Partners, Inc) · COUR (Coursera, Inc.) · LAUR (Laureate Education, Inc.) · PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation) · LRN (Stride, Inc.)
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