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AMPLAmplitude, Inc.Sell5.4·$8.83+3.27%
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Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. At $8.83, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 4.2%.

Amplitude, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides an AI analytics platform that helps analyze customer behavior within digital products in the United States and internationally. It offers Amplitude Analytics, which provides real-time insights into user behavior;... Read more

$8.83+4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#85 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.51%
Stop $8.22Target $9.21(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$10.59+19.9%11 analysts
$9.21our TP
$8.83price
$10.59mean
$7
$18

Sell if holding. At $8.83, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 4.2%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 83. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Amplitude, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-05T07:10:30Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.2%
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.7): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)65.9
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA-10.9
Profit Mgn-25.1%
ROE-35.4%
Rev Growth16.9%
Beta1.45
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV94%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.2
52w Position
2.2

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.4
Value Rank
5.3
Growth Rank
5.9
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
83 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.30Resistance $9.18

Price Targets

$8
$9
A.Upside+4.3%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMPL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $8.83, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.7): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 4.2%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 83. Prior stop was $8.22. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the AMPL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.21 (+4.2% upside). Prior stop was $8.22. Stop-loss: $8.22.

What are the risks of investing in AMPL?

Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.7): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is AMPL overvalued or undervalued?

Amplitude, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 65.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMPL?

17 analysts cover AMPL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Amplitude, Inc. do?Amplitude, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides an AI analytics platform that helps analyze customer behavior...

Amplitude, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides an AI analytics platform that helps analyze customer behavior within digital products in the United States and internationally. It offers Amplitude Analytics, which provides real-time insights into user behavior; Amplitude Session Replay, a tool that offers a qualitative perspective by reconstructing user journeys; Amplitude Feature Experimentation, which enables product, data, and engineering teams to build experiments; Amplitude Web Experimentation, a solution that reduces the need for engineering support and accelerates testing; Amplitude Activation, which resolves identity conflicts, streamlines data integration, and facilitates organizations to personalize and activate campaigns and experiences; Amplitude Guides and Surveys that helps companies to deploy in-product guides, tours, and surveys using the power of behavioral insights to fuel great results; Amplitude AI Agents, accomplish specific goals, such as increasing checkout conversions or feature adoption; Amplitude MCP, is a server enables teams to analyze product data, experiments, and user behavior using conversational AI; Amplitude AI Visibility gives marketers unprecedented insights into how their brand show up; Amplitude AI Feedback, is a feedback engine that uses proprietary large language models to convert raw user input into actionable insights; and Amplitude Automated Insights, is a replicates standard analysis process, executes chained tool calls, and it searches charts and reports to investigate experiments, campaigns, and product releases. It also provides customer support related to initial implementation setup, ongoing support services, and application training. It delivers its application over the Internet as a subscription service using a software-as-a-service model. It was formerly known as Sonalight, Inc. and changed to Amplitude, Inc. in December 2014. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in San Francisco, California.

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Benzinga4d ago
Benzinga4d agoAnalyst