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Amgen Inc. (AMGN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $330.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.2): -1.5.

Amgen discovers, develops, and manufactures biologic medicines across oncology, cardiovascular, bone, inflammatory diseases, and neuroscience with $35.1B in product revenues in 2025. Revenue is primarily from U.S. sales (73%) distributed through three major wholesalers that... Read more

$330.75+3.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#9 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.25%
IncomeYield3.11%(5y avg 3.06%)Payout67.22%
Stop $314.01Target $341.10(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$352.23+6.5%30 analysts
$341.10our TP
$330.75price
$352.23mean
$200
$427

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $330.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.2): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and news legal and news soft fda negative. Suitability: conservative.

Recent Developments — Amgen Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.2): -1.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.6
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$175.2B
EV/EBITDA13.0
Profit Mgn21.0%
ROE101.3%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta0.43
Dividend3.11%
Rating analysts44

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV36%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.9
Revenue Growth
3.9
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVENEWS LEGALNEWS SOFT FDA NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Conservative
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $318.12Resistance $348.06

Price Targets

$314
$341
A.Upside+3.1%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! NEWS:LEGAL

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMGN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $330.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.2): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $314.01. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMGN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $341.10 (+3.1% upside). Prior stop was $314.01. Stop-loss: $314.01.

What are the risks of investing in AMGN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.2): -1.5; Weak growth.

Is AMGN overvalued or undervalued?

Amgen Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.6 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMGN?

44 analysts cover AMGN with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $352.

What does Amgen Inc. do?Amgen discovers, develops, and manufactures biologic medicines across oncology, cardiovascular, bone, inflammatory...

Amgen discovers, develops, and manufactures biologic medicines across oncology, cardiovascular, bone, inflammatory diseases, and neuroscience with $35.1B in product revenues in 2025. Revenue is primarily from U.S. sales (73%) distributed through three major wholesalers that collectively account for 77% of worldwide gross revenues.

Related stocks: LLY (Eli Lilly and Company) · NVO (Novo Nordisk A/S) · GILD (Gilead Sciences, Inc.) · BMY (Bristol-Myers Squibb Company) · AZN (AstraZeneca PLC)