Skip to main content
SNYSanofiHold5.5·$44.60+0.89%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sanofi is a large pharmaceutical company with strong 16% operating margins, 221% free cash flow conversion, and 3 of 4 recent earnings beats, but faces a confirmed death cross with falling on-balance volume and a dividend payout ratio of 552% that appears structurally unsustainable.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margins Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • Three Consecutive Earnings BeatsDeteriorating
  • Death Cross Confirmed DowntrendImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sanofi (SNY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $44.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.3%; Negative news sentiment (-0.67).

Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides immunology and inflammation, rare diseases neurology, oncology, and other vaccines. It also offers poliomyelitis, pertussis, and haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib)... Read more

$44.60+7.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#12 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield15.60%
IncomeYield5.42%(5y avg 4.01%)Payout97.73%at-risk
Stop $42.78Target $47.90(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$55.06+23.4%9 analysts
$47.90our TP
$44.60price
$55.06mean
$63

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $44.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.3%; Negative news sentiment (-0.67). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.3%
Negative news sentiment (-0.67)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.8
P/E (Fwd)8.7
Mkt Cap$106.9B
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn16.0%
ROE6.6%
Rev Growth6.0%
Beta0.28
Dividend5.42%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.4
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
7.6
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $40.89Resistance $44.85

Price Targets

$43
$48
A.Upside+7.3%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $44.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.3%; Negative news sentiment (-0.67). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $47.90 (+7.4%), stop $42.78 (−4.3%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.90 (+7.3% upside). Target $47.90 (+7.4%), stop $42.78 (−4.3%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $42.78.

What are the risks of investing in SNY?

Thin upside margin: 7.3%; Negative news sentiment (-0.67); Weak growth.

Is SNY overvalued or undervalued?

Sanofi trades at a P/E of 19.8 (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SNY?

29 analysts cover SNY with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $55.

What does Sanofi do?Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides...

Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides immunology and inflammation, rare diseases neurology, oncology, and other vaccines. It also offers poliomyelitis, pertussis, and haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) pediatric vaccines; respiratory syncytial virus protection and hexavalent combination vaccines that includes hepatitis A, typhoid, yellow fever, and rabies vaccines. It has a collaboration and license agreement with Exscientia to develop up to 15 novel small-molecule for oncology and immunology; ABL Bio, Inc. to develop ABL301 for treatment of alpha-synucleinopathies; and Innate Pharma SA for cell engager program targeting B7-H3. Further, it has a collaboration agreements with Atomwise to use ATOMNET platform and Insilico Medicine to use Pharma.AI, a medicine's AI platform; Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. to develop and commercialize protein degrader therapies targeting IRAK4 in patients with immune-inflammatory diseases; Nurix Therapeutics, Inc. to develop protein degradation therapies; Denali Therapeutics Inc. to treat systemic inflammatory diseases, such as ulcerative colitis; and Adagene Inc. for development of antibody-based therapies. Additionally, it has a collaboration with Scribe Therapeutics Inc. to develop genome editing technologies; Teva Pharmaceuticals to co-develop and co-commercialize TEV'574, for treatment of ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease; and co-promotion service agreement with Provention Bio, Inc. for the commercialization of teplizumab. The company was formerly known as Sanofi-Aventis and changed its name to Sanofi in May 2011. Sanofi was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

Related stocks: NVO (Novo Nordisk A/S) · LLY (Eli Lilly and Company) · GILD (Gilead Sciences, Inc.) · BIIB (Biogen Inc.) · BMY (Bristol-Myers Squibb Company)
Home Stocks SNY

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga4d agoCONCERNFda Decision
GuruFocus88d ago
Benzinga89d agoFda Decision
Seeking Alpha89d agoFda Decision
MarketBeat95d ago
TipRanks96d agoProduct
Seeking Alpha12d agoLegal
Yahoo Finance103d agoAnalyst
Meyka89d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative90d ago
MSN97d ago
Meyka97d agoAnalyst
AD HOC NEWS13d agoProduct
TipRanks13d agoFda Decision
Benzinga104d agoFda Decision
Seeking Alpha104d agoFda Decision
Investor's Business Daily87d ago
Yahoo Finance88d ago
TradingView88d ago
TipRanks88d agoEarnings
Loading more...