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SNYSanofiBuy Wait5.7·$41.89
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sanofi is a large pharmaceutical company with strong 16% operating margins, 221% free cash flow conversion, and 3 of 4 recent earnings beats, but faces a confirmed death cross with falling on-balance volume and a dividend payout ratio of 552% that appears structurally unsustainable.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margins Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Three Consecutive Earnings Beats↓Deteriorating
  • Death Cross Confirmed Downtrend↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sanofi (SNY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitValueModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Earnings in 2 days (2026-10-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $40.95. BUY gates pass at $41.89, but weak growth and below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $40.95 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides immunology and inflammation, rare diseases neurology, oncology, and other vaccines. It also offers poliomyelitis, pertussis, and haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib)... Read more

$41.89+11.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.28%
IncomeYield5.79%(5y avg 4.03%)Payout127.51%at-risk
Entry $40.95(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $39.31Target $46.64(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst consensus$53.61+28.0%9 analysts
$46.64our TP
$41.89price
$53.61mean
$63

Wait for pullback to $40.95. BUY gates pass at $41.89, but weak growth and below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $40.95 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-28
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 30, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Risks
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.0
P/E (Fwd)8.0
Mkt Cap$100.4B
EV/EBITDA8.7
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE5.7%
Rev Growth14.6%
Beta0.28
Dividend5.79%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$25-40.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.7
Bollinger
1.1
52w Position
6.5

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.2
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.07Resistance $42.11

Price Targets

$39
$41
$47
A.Upside+11.3%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:2d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-30 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNY stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $40.95. BUY gates pass at $41.89, but weak growth and below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $40.95 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $46.64 (+11.3%), stop $39.31 (−6.6%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.64 (+11.3% upside). Target $46.64 (+11.3%), stop $39.31 (−6.6%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $39.31.

What are the risks of investing in SNY?

Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is SNY overvalued or undervalued?

Sanofi trades at a P/E of 22.0 (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SNY?

31 analysts cover SNY with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $54.

What does Sanofi do?Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides...

Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides immunology and inflammation, rare diseases neurology, oncology, and other vaccines. It also offers poliomyelitis, pertussis, and haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) pediatric vaccines; respiratory syncytial virus protection; hexavalent combination vaccines that includes hepatitis A, typhoid, yellow fever, and rabies vaccines; and Fluzone, a flu vaccine. It has a collaboration and license agreement with Exscientia to develop small-molecule for oncology and immunology; ABL Bio, Inc. to develop ABL301 for treatment of alpha-synucleinopathies; and Innate Pharma SA for cell engager program targeting B7-H3. Further, it has a collaboration agreements with Atomwise to use ATOMNET platform and Insilico Medicine to use Pharma.AI, a medicine's AI platform; Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. to develop and commercialize protein degrader therapies targeting IRAK4 in patients with immune-inflammatory diseases; Nurix Therapeutics, Inc. to develop protein degradation therapies; Denali Therapeutics Inc. to treat systemic inflammatory diseases, such as ulcerative colitis; and Adagene Inc. for development of antibody-based therapies. Additionally, it has a collaboration with Scribe Therapeutics Inc. to develop genome editing technologies; Teva Pharmaceuticals to co-develop and co-commercialize TEV'574, for treatment of ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease; co-promotion service agreement with Provention Bio, Inc. for the commercialization of teplizumab; and antibody collaboration with Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to develop antibodies, such as Dupixent (dupilumab) as treatment for diseases driven by type 2 inflammation. manufacturing facility in Germany. The company was formerly known as Sanofi-Aventis and changed its name to Sanofi in May 2011. Sanofi was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

Related stocks: BMY (Bristol-Myers Squibb Company) · AMGN (Amgen Inc.) · ABBV (AbbVie Inc.) · NVO (Novo Nordisk A/S) · AZN (AstraZeneca PLC)
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