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HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sanofi is a large pharmaceutical company with strong 16% operating margins, 221% free cash flow conversion, and 3 of 4 recent earnings beats, but faces a confirmed death cross with falling on-balance volume and a dividend payout ratio of 552% that appears structurally unsustainable.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margins Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Three Consecutive Earnings Beats→Stable
  • Death Cross Confirmed Downtrend↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sanofi (SNY) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides immunology and inflammation, rare diseases neurology, oncology, and other vaccines. It also offers poliomyelitis, pertussis, and haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib)... Read more

$39.56+18.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#5 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.65%
IncomeYield6.12%(5y avg 4.01%)Payout127.51%at-risk
Stop $38.06Target $46.74(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.6:1
Analyst target$53.72+35.8%9 analysts
$46.74our TP
$39.56price
$53.72mean
$63

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 30, 202624d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.8
P/E (Fwd)7.3
Mkt Cap$94.7B
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE5.7%
Rev Growth14.6%
Beta0.28
Dividend6.12%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.3
Capitulation risk (RSI 24, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.2
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 24d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
24 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.18Resistance $43.74

Price Targets

$38
$47
A.Upside+18.1%
A.R:R3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-30 (24d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $46.74 (+18.1%), stop $38.06 (−3.9%), A.R:R 3.6:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.74 (+18.1% upside). Target $46.74 (+18.1%), stop $38.06 (−3.9%), A.R:R 3.6:1. Stop-loss: $38.06.

What are the risks of investing in SNY?

Weak growth; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is SNY overvalued or undervalued?

Sanofi trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SNY?

30 analysts cover SNY with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $54.

What does Sanofi do?Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides...

Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides immunology and inflammation, rare diseases neurology, oncology, and other vaccines. It also offers poliomyelitis, pertussis, and haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) pediatric vaccines; respiratory syncytial virus protection; hexavalent combination vaccines that includes hepatitis A, typhoid, yellow fever, and rabies vaccines; and Fluzone, a flu vaccine. It has a collaboration and license agreement with Exscientia to develop up to 15 novel small-molecule for oncology and immunology; ABL Bio, Inc. to develop ABL301 for treatment of alpha-synucleinopathies; and Innate Pharma SA for cell engager program targeting B7-H3. Further, it has a collaboration agreements with Atomwise to use ATOMNET platform and Insilico Medicine to use Pharma.AI, a medicine's AI platform; Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. to develop and commercialize protein degrader therapies targeting IRAK4 in patients with immune-inflammatory diseases; Nurix Therapeutics, Inc. to develop protein degradation therapies; Denali Therapeutics Inc. to treat systemic inflammatory diseases, such as ulcerative colitis; and Adagene Inc. for development of antibody-based therapies. Additionally, it has a collaboration with Scribe Therapeutics Inc. to develop genome editing technologies; Teva Pharmaceuticals to co-develop and co-commercialize TEV'574, for treatment of ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease; and co-promotion service agreement with Provention Bio, Inc. for the commercialization of teplizumab. The company was formerly known as Sanofi-Aventis and changed its name to Sanofi in May 2011. Sanofi was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

Related stocks: BMY (Bristol-Myers Squibb Company) · ABBV (AbbVie Inc.) · AMGN (Amgen Inc.) · GSK (GSK plc) · AZN (AstraZeneca PLC)
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