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LLYEli Lilly and CompanyHold6.7·$1160.00+2.53%
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Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1160.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.5% away).

Eli Lilly discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets pharmaceuticals globally in a single business segment, selling in ~90 countries through wholesalers and healthcare providers. Key products span cardiometabolic (Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance), oncology (Verzenio,... Read more

$1160.00+18.6% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#2 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.91%
IncomeYield0.61%(5y avg 0.89%)Payout22.13%sustainable
Entry $976.97(50-day MA)Stop $913.39Target $1159.08(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1Setup A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$1215.10+4.8%29 analysts
$1159.08our TP
$1160.00price
$1215.10mean
$850
$1500

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1160.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $1149.15 has reached target $1159.08. No upside to wait for. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: conservative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.5% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.2
P/E (Fwd)25.4
Mkt Cap$1.01T
EV/EBITDA28.9
Profit Mgn35.0%
ROE107.5%
Rev Growth55.5%
Beta0.52
Dividend0.61%
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.91neutral
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
0.7
Pe
3.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Forward Pe
4.9
Peg Ratio
5.0
Forward P/E: 25.4xPEG: 1.52
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Conservative
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $941.64Resistance $1182.73

Price Targets

$913
$977
$1159
A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LLY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1160.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $1149.15 has reached target $1159.08. No upside to wait for. Target $1159.08 (-0.1%), stop $913.39 (−27.0%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LLY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1159.08 (+18.6% upside). Target $1159.08 (-0.1%), stop $913.39 (−27.0%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $913.39.

What are the risks of investing in LLY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.5% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is LLY overvalued or undervalued?

Eli Lilly and Company trades at a P/E of 40.2 (forward 25.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LLY?

39 analysts cover LLY with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $1215.

What does Eli Lilly and Company do?Eli Lilly discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets pharmaceuticals globally in a single business segment, selling...

Eli Lilly discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets pharmaceuticals globally in a single business segment, selling in ~90 countries through wholesalers and healthcare providers. Key products span cardiometabolic (Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance), oncology (Verzenio, Kyprolis), immunology (Taltz, Olumiant), and neuroscience; six products collectively accounted for 82% of total revenues in 2025.

Related stocks: NVO (Novo Nordisk A/S) · GILD (Gilead Sciences, Inc.) · BMY (Bristol-Myers Squibb Company) · AZN (AstraZeneca PLC) · AMGN (Amgen Inc.)
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