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AZNAstraZeneca PLCHold5.8·$166.68
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A wide economic moat, strong margins at 17%, a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a 3-of-4 earnings beat record underpin a high-quality franchise that offers 10.2% headroom to the target with a 2.3-to-1 risk/reward — the sole near-term drag is weakening price momentum, which keeps the setup in a holding pattern rather than an active buy.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Quality Franchise→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Track Record→Stable
  • Momentum Headwind Weakening Price Action↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AstraZeneca PLC (AZN) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.1%; Weak growth.

AstraZeneca PLC, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, manufacture, and commercialization of prescription medicines. The company offers Imjudo, Datroway, Iressa, Tagrisso, Imfinzi, Lynparza, Calquence, Enhertu, Orpathys, Truqap, Zoladex, Faslodex,... Read more

$166.68+8.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#6 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.98%
IncomeYield1.92%(5y avg 2.05%)Payout46.95%sustainable
Stop $159.28Target $180.23(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$207.16+24.3%12 analysts
$180.23our TP
$166.68price
$207.16mean
$158
$240

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.1%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 30, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.1%
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.9
P/E (Fwd)14.7
Mkt Cap$258.5B
EV/EBITDA14.1
Profit Mgn17.0%
ROE22.0%
Rev Growth6.4%
Beta0.21
Dividend1.92%
Rating analysts35

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.56bearish
IV48%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
4.1

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.0
Bollinger
2.2
Gap
4.0
52w Position
5.9
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Momentum 7.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $154.00Resistance $169.81

Price Targets

$159
$180
A.Upside+8.1%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-30 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AZN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.1%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $180.23 (+8.1%), stop $159.28 (−4.6%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AZN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $180.23 (+8.1% upside). Target $180.23 (+8.1%), stop $159.28 (−4.6%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $159.28.

What are the risks of investing in AZN?

Thin upside margin: 8.1%; Weak growth.

Is AZN overvalued or undervalued?

AstraZeneca PLC trades at a P/E of 24.9 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AZN?

35 analysts cover AZN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $207.

What does AstraZeneca PLC do?AstraZeneca PLC, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, manufacture, and commercialization...

AstraZeneca PLC, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, manufacture, and commercialization of prescription medicines. The company offers Imjudo, Datroway, Iressa, Tagrisso, Imfinzi, Lynparza, Calquence, Enhertu, Orpathys, Truqap, Zoladex, Faslodex, Crestor, Andexxa, Onglyza, Symlin, XIGDUO XR, Atacand, Atacand HCT, Atacand Plus, Farxiga/Forxiga, Plendil, Modip, Splendil, Munobal, Flodil, Tenormin, Tenormine, Prenormine, Atenol, Zestril, Brilinta/Brilique, Komboglyze, Qtern, Wainua, Byetta, Lokelma, Seloken ZOK, Toprol-XL, Betaloc ZOK, XIGDUO, Accolate, Accoleit, Vanticon, Bricanyl Respules, Eklira Genuair/Tudorza/Bretaris, Pulmicort Turbuhaler, Symbicort Turbuhaler, Airsupra, Bricanyl Turbuhaler, Fasenra, Rhinocort, Tezspire, Bevespi Aerosphere, Daliresp/Daxas, Oxis Turbuhaler, Saphnelo, Breztri Aerosphere, Duaklir Genuair, Pulmicort Respules, and Symbicort pMDI. It also provides Beyfortus, Kavigale, Evusheld, Fluenz/FluMist, Synagis, Kanuma, Ultomiris, Koselugo, Voydeya, Soliris, Strensiq, Nexium, and other medicines. The company offers its products for ocology, cardiovascular, renal and metabolism, respiratory & immunology, vaccines and immune, and therapies for rare diseases. It serves primary and specialty care physicians through distributors and local representative offices in the United Kingdom, the Americas, rest of Europe, Asia, Africa, and Australasia. It has a strategic agreement with Tempus and Pathos to develop the multimodal foundation model in oncology; CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited to advance the discovery and development of oral candidates, with the potential to treat diseases across multiple indications; Nucs AI Inc. to develop AI-driven Response Prediction for Therapeutic Radioconjugates; and Carterra, Inc. to advances lab-in-the-loop drug discovery through new scientific research collaboration. The company was formerly known as Zeneca Group PLC and changed its name to AstraZeneca PLC in April 1999. AstraZeneca PLC was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Cambridge, the United Kingdom.

Related stocks: LLY (Eli Lilly and Company) · BMY (Bristol-Myers Squibb Company) · AMGN (Amgen Inc.) · ABBV (AbbVie Inc.) · SNY (Sanofi)
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