Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) Stock Analysis
Technology · Semiconductors
Sell if holding. At $342.90, A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC; Concentration risk — Customer: small number of customers.
AMD designs CPUs, GPUs, FPGAs, and AI accelerators for data center, client, gaming, and embedded markets globally, with no internal fabrication capacity. Revenue comes from selling semiconductors to cloud, enterprise, and OEM customers across four segments. AMD outsources all... Read more
Sell if holding. At $342.90, A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC; Concentration risk — Customer: small number of customers. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierTSMC10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC) for the production of all wafers for microprocessor and GPU products at 7 nanometer (nm) or smaller nodes'
- HIGHCustomersmall number of customers10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on a small number of customers for a substantial portion of our business and we expect that a small number of customers will continue to account for a significant part of our revenue'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-17Item 5.02LOWAMD Compensation Committee approved fiscal 2025 EIP cash bonuses: CEO Lisa Su ($3,125,430), CFO Jean Hu ($1,179,750), CTO Mark Papermaster ($1,293,187), and others. A CEO Value Creation Equity Award also approved. No departures or appointments.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $342.90, A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC; Concentration risk — Customer: small number of customers. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $313.51. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $345.93 (+2.6% upside). Prior stop was $313.51. Stop-loss: $313.51.
Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC; Concentration risk — Customer: small number of customers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. trades at a P/E of 129.7 (forward 30.5). TrendMatrix value score: 2.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
59 analysts cover AMD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $301.
What does Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. do?AMD designs CPUs, GPUs, FPGAs, and AI accelerators for data center, client, gaming, and embedded markets globally, with...
AMD designs CPUs, GPUs, FPGAs, and AI accelerators for data center, client, gaming, and embedded markets globally, with no internal fabrication capacity. Revenue comes from selling semiconductors to cloud, enterprise, and OEM customers across four segments. AMD outsources all wafer production to third-party foundries, primarily TSMC for sub-7nm nodes.