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AMBQAmbiq Micro, Inc.Sell4.7·$82.85-6.28%
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Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.85: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.61; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Ambiq Micro, Inc. provides ultra-low-power semiconductor solutions in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It develops sub-threshold power-optimized technology (SPOT) platform which is designed to reduce power consumption of battery- and wireline-powered devices... Read more

$82.85+8.4% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#39 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-1.54%
Stop $77.05Target $89.78(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$70.20-15.3%5 analysts
$89.78our TP
$82.85price
$70.20mean
$69
$90

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.85: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.61; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 11, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-26.3% upside)
Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -25.8%), High leverage (D/E 4.7), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.05% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-110.1
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA-44.2
Profit Mgn-46.9%
ROE-24.5%
Rev Growth59.3%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.61bearish
IV107%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Gross Margin
4.5
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -37% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.82%=EXTREMEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $72.97Resistance $91.61

Price Targets

$77
$90
A.Upside+8.4%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-26.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -25.8%), High leverage (D/E 4.7), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.05% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMBQ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.85: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.61; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $77.05. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMBQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $89.78 (+8.4% upside). Prior stop was $77.05. Stop-loss: $77.05.

What are the risks of investing in AMBQ?

Target reached (-26.3% upside); Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -25.8%), High leverage (D/E 4.7), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.05% of cap).

Is AMBQ overvalued or undervalued?

Ambiq Micro, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -110.1). TrendMatrix value score: 1.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMBQ?

11 analysts cover AMBQ with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $70.

What does Ambiq Micro, Inc. do?Ambiq Micro, Inc. provides ultra-low-power semiconductor solutions in the United States, Europe, Asia, and...

Ambiq Micro, Inc. provides ultra-low-power semiconductor solutions in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It develops sub-threshold power-optimized technology (SPOT) platform which is designed to reduce power consumption of battery- and wireline-powered devices alike. The company's flagship products include Apollo family of products which pair rich peripheral sets with host processors capable of software-based AI computations or vector-accelerated AI computations; and Atomiq, targeting AI applications to provide AI acceleration along with new memory innovations. It also provides AmbiqSuite Software Development Kit (SDK), which provides firmware and drivers required to operate systems-on-chips (SoC); software modules, such as graphiqSPOT for graphics and display management, blueSPOT for Bluetooth communications, secureSPOT for managing security, and others; and AI enablement software. The company serves various markets requiring on-device and real-time AI, including smartwatches and fitness trackers, augmented and virtual reality (AR/VR) glasses, smart rings, digital health monitors, security systems and access control, livestock tracking, crop monitoring, and factory automation. It offers its products through internal direct sales force, and through a network of distributors and sales representatives. The company was formerly known as Cubiq Microchip, Inc. and changed its name to Ambiq Micro, Inc. in October 2012. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Austin, Texas.

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