Alarm.com has a four-quarter beat streak, steady revenue growth and a perfect 9-of-9 Piotroski score, but the price is above the analyst target and RSI of 85 shows an overbought stock into earnings in four days.
Thesis pillars
- Steady Revenue Growth→Stable
- Perfect Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
- Strong Financial Health→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) Stock Analysis
Technology · Software - Application
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $65.46 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.9% away).
Alarm.com operates a cloud-based IoT platform for connected properties across residential, commercial, and multi-family markets, distributing through an independent service provider network. The company generated $1.0112 billion in total revenue in 2025, with SaaS and license... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $65.46 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.9% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated Oct 29, 2026Recent Developments — Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Alarm.com Holdings (ALRM) Shows Strong Momentum with RSI at 85 a - GuruFocus — GuruFocus Oct 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS Alarm.com (ALRM) Edges Up 0.79% to $65.44, Sitting Squarely Between Support and Resistance - AI Trade Signals - https:// — https://www.siam.in/ Oct 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS Alarm.com (ALRM) Expected to Release Earnings on Thursday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat Oct 29, 2026 neutral
- NEWS ALRM Q3'26 Earnings: revenue estimate is 265.82M USD - TradingView — TradingView Oct 29, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Alarm.com (NASDAQ:ALRM) Hits New 12-Month High - Should You Buy? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat Oct 27, 2026 positive
Latest item Oct 29, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:44:34Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSupplierhardware produced outside the United States10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our hardware is produced outside the United States, including in Vietnam, Thailand and Taiwan'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-18Item 5.02LOWJeff Bedell temporarily relinquished his role as President, Venture Businesses and Corporate Strategy, effective March 12, 2026, due to a personal family issue requiring substantial focus. He remains a full-time employee and senior advisor to the CEO. No permanent successor named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $65.46 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.9% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $61.74. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $56.55 reached (−13.6% from $65.46); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $61.74. Stop-loss: $61.74.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.9% away); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.2 (forward 21.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts rate ALRM, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 5 analysts publish price targets averaging $65.
What does Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. do?Alarm.com operates a cloud-based IoT platform for connected properties across residential, commercial, and multi-family...
Alarm.com operates a cloud-based IoT platform for connected properties across residential, commercial, and multi-family markets, distributing through an independent service provider network. The company generated $1.0112 billion in total revenue in 2025, with SaaS and license revenue of $689.4 million and hardware sales comprising the balance, paid by service providers as monthly fees.