Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Technology · Software - Application
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $43.47 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Alarm.com operates a cloud IoT platform for connected residential, commercial, and energy properties, distributing through a network of independent service provider partners. Revenue is predominantly SaaS and license fees ($689.4M of $1.011B total 2025 revenues), with additional... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $43.47 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- Alarm.com adds features to Universal Communicator device - Investing.com UK — Investing.com UK positive
- Alarm.com Modernizes Legacy Security Systems with Enhanced Universal Communicator - Business Wire — Business Wire positive
- Alarm.com (ALRM) To Report Earnings Tomorrow: Here Is What To Expect - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- How The Story Is Shifting For Alarm.com (ALRM) As AI And Targets Reset - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM) Shares Gap Down to $43.24 on Apr 9 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-18Item 5.02LOWJeff Bedell temporarily relinquished duties as President, Venture Businesses and Corporate Strategy effective March 12, 2026 due to a personal family issue. He remains a full-time employee serving as senior advisor to the CEO.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $43.47 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $40.43. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $51.33 (+18.1% upside). Prior stop was $40.43. Stop-loss: $40.43.
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.2 (forward 14.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover ALRM with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $59.
What does Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. do?Alarm.com operates a cloud IoT platform for connected residential, commercial, and energy properties, distributing...
Alarm.com operates a cloud IoT platform for connected residential, commercial, and energy properties, distributing through a network of independent service provider partners. Revenue is predominantly SaaS and license fees ($689.4M of $1.011B total 2025 revenues), with additional hardware sales to service providers.