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AEVAAeva Technologies, Inc.Sell5.0·$24.00-13.67%
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Aeva Technologies, Inc. (AEVA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.00: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Aeva Technologies, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of LiDAR sensing systems, and related perception and autonomy-enabling software solutions in North America, Europe, Oceania, and Asia. The company develops its products using frequency modulated continuous wave... Read more

$24.00+27.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#94 of 110 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-4.18%
Stop $22.30Target $30.67(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$25.13+4.7%4 analysts
$30.67our TP
$24.00price
$25.13mean
$19
$33

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.00: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-10.9% upside)
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-15.6
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA-11.9
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-516.1%
Rev Growth85.9%
Beta2.40
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.18bearish
IV146%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
8.9
Cash-burning: FCF -323% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Analyst Target
3.0
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
0.1
Growth Rank
9.5
Industry growth leader
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.88Resistance $31.30

Price Targets

$22
$31
A.Upside+27.8%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AEVA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.00: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $22.30. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AEVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.67 (+27.9% upside). Prior stop was $22.30. Stop-loss: $22.30.

What are the risks of investing in AEVA?

Target reached (-10.9% upside); Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is AEVA overvalued or undervalued?

Aeva Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 3.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AEVA?

11 analysts cover AEVA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Aeva Technologies, Inc. do?Aeva Technologies, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of LiDAR sensing systems, and related perception...

Aeva Technologies, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of LiDAR sensing systems, and related perception and autonomy-enabling software solutions in North America, Europe, Oceania, and Asia. The company develops its products using frequency modulated continuous wave (FMCW) sensing technology. It also offers Aeva Omni, a wide-view short-range 4D LiDAR; Aeva Atlas, a orion long-range 4D LiDAR with data and power over ethernet; CityOS, a AI operating system for real-time traffic intelligence designed to improve safety, efficiency, and data-driven transportation planning in cities; Atlas, a FMCW 4D LiDAR with simultaneous velocity and range detection for mass production and built to meet automotive-grade requirements; Aeva Eve1, a line of high-precision laser displacement sensors for volume industrial automation; and Atlas Ultra, a 4D LiDAR sensor built to meet the performance demands of SAE Level 3 and 4 automated driving systems in passenger and commercial vehicles. Its products are also used in automotive, consumer devices, industrial automation, and security market applications. Aeva Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.

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