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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Adient is a deeply discounted, low-quality auto parts supplier (forward P/E 5.7x, 44.1% upside to the analyst target) with thin margins, no moat, a confirmed downtrend and erratic earnings.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Floor Business Quality↓Deteriorating
  • Deep Value With Analyst Upside→Stable
  • Confirmed Downtrend↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 18, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Adient plc (ADNT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.92: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Adient supplies complete seating systems and components to all major global OEMs, operating approximately 200 manufacturing facilities across 29 countries with more than 65,000 employees. Revenue is earned through just-in-time seat delivery to automakers including Volkswagen... Read more

$16.92+42.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#22 of 32 Auto Parts
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield27.18%
Stop $15.74Analyst target $24.04(−13% haircut)A.R:R 4.4:1
Analyst consensus$27.64+63.3%11 analysts with price targets
$24.04Analyst target
$16.92price
$27.64mean
$64

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.92: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Adient plc

About Adient plc

Adient operates approximately 200 manufacturing, assembly, and sequencing facilities across 29 countries, employing more than 65,000 people. The company supplies complete seat systems and individual components — frames, foam, trim covers, mechanisms, and head restraints — to every major original equipment manufacturer. In China, the world's largest automotive market, Adient has 37 manufacturing locations in 22 cities supported by six joint ventures with domestic auto groups.

Adient earns revenue by producing and delivering automotive seating on a just-in-time or in-sequence basis directly to OEM assembly lines. The company is vertically integrated across seating foam, metal structures, seat covers, and mechanisms. Primary competitors named in the 10-K include Lear Corporation, Toyota Boshoku Corporation, Forvia SE, Magna International, and Yanfeng Automotive Systems. Raw material inputs — primarily steel, aluminum, and polyurethane chemicals — are subject to price volatility; commercial negotiations with customers and suppliers typically offset only a portion of adverse input cost moves. The EMEA region faces overcapacity and intensifying competition from Chinese imports, while the Asia region contends with pricing pressure from domestic OEMs producing at lower cost. Adient's operating model requires long lead times between product design and production launch, with price commitments locked in advance, making full cost recovery from customers if commodity prices move adversely difficult to achieve.

Show full overview

Adient recorded a $333 million non-cash goodwill impairment on the EMEA reporting unit as of March 31, 2025, driven by lower forecasted vehicle volumes, slower EV adoption, and overcapacity pressure. The Americas and Asia reporting units showed fair value cushions that only modestly exceeded 10% of carrying value at the same date, a signal that impairment risk is not confined to EMEA if global vehicle production volumes deteriorate further or tariff impacts broaden.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

From Adient plc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 20, 2026

Recent Developments — Adient plc

Latest news

Latest item Oct 20, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:54:37Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.8
P/E (Fwd)5.9
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA4.4
Profit Mgn0.3%
ROE5.8%
Rev Growth5.0%
Beta1.65
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.44bullish
IV70%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'strong position in the Chinese market is a key component of Adient's strategy ... Adient's business in China is conducted through both consolidated subsidiaries'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-13Item 5.02LOW
    Board approved a one-time $500,000 RSU retention award for James Conklin, EVP Americas, on March 10, 2026, vesting over two years. No officer departure; compensatory arrangement only.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.2
Operating Margin
1.0
Roe
1.9
Roa
2.1
Moat
3.8
Current Ratio
4.3
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 739% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.8
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 4.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.91Resistance $18.73

Price Targets

$16
$24
A.Upside+42.1%
A.R:R4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ADNT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.92: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Prior stop was $15.74. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ADNT stock price target?

Analyst target: $24.04 (+42.1% upside). Prior stop was $15.74. Stop-loss: $15.74.

What are the risks of investing in ADNT?

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is ADNT overvalued or undervalued?

Adient plc trades at a P/E of 30.8 (forward 5.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ADNT?

18 analysts rate ADNT, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 11 analysts publish price targets averaging $28.

What does Adient plc do?Adient supplies complete seating systems and components to all major global OEMs, operating approximately 200...

Adient supplies complete seating systems and components to all major global OEMs, operating approximately 200 manufacturing facilities across 29 countries with more than 65,000 employees. Revenue is earned through just-in-time seat delivery to automakers including Volkswagen Group, Toyota, Ford, GM, and Stellantis.

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