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ACLSAxcelis Technologies, Inc.Hold5.1·$164.18+6.09%
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Axcelis Technologies, Inc. (ACLS) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $164.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (non-U.S.) revenue (83.7%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia system shipments (76.0%).

Axcelis Technologies, Inc. designs, manufactures, and services ion implantation and other processing equipment used in the fabrication of semiconductor chips in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides high energy, high current, and medium current... Read more

$164.18+8.4% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#16 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.03%
Stop $153.19Target $178.55(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$161.00-1.9%3 analysts
$178.55our TP
$164.18price
$161.00mean
$130
$180

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $164.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (non-U.S.) revenue (83.7%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia system shipments (76.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international (non-U.S.) revenue (83.7%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia system shipments (76.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)48.1
P/E (Fwd)33.4
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA41.2
Profit Mgn11.9%
ROE9.7%
Rev Growth3.3%
Beta1.92
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.45bullish
IV91%elevated
Max Pain$45-72.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicinternational (non-U.S.) revenue84%
    10-K Item 1A: 'International sales...accounted for 83.7% of total revenue in 2025'
  • HIGHGeographicAsia system shipments76%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Ion implanter system shipments to customers in Asia represented 76.0% of total system revenue in 2025'
  • HIGHCustomertop-10 customers55%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top ten customers accounted for 55.2% of our net sales, in comparison to 45.9% and 51.7% in 2024 and 2023, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-12Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO James Coogan resigned effective April 24, 2026. David Ryzhik (SVP Investor Relations and Corporate Strategy) appointed Interim CFO effective March 12, 2026. Coogan's resignation not related to any disagreement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $137.84Resistance $182.19

Price Targets

$153
$179
A.Upside+8.8%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACLS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $164.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (non-U.S.) revenue (83.7%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia system shipments (76.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $178.55 (+8.8%), stop $153.19 (−7.2%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the ACLS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $178.55 (+8.4% upside). Target $178.55 (+8.8%), stop $153.19 (−7.2%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $153.19.

What are the risks of investing in ACLS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international (non-U.S.) revenue (83.7%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia system shipments (76.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is ACLS overvalued or undervalued?

Axcelis Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 48.1 (forward 33.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ACLS?

12 analysts cover ACLS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $161.

What does Axcelis Technologies, Inc. do?Axcelis Technologies, Inc. designs, manufactures, and services ion implantation and other processing equipment used in...

Axcelis Technologies, Inc. designs, manufactures, and services ion implantation and other processing equipment used in the fabrication of semiconductor chips in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides high energy, high current, and medium current implanters for various application requirements. It also offers aftermarket lifecycle products and services, including used tools, spare parts, equipment upgrades, maintenance services, and customer training. The company sells its equipment and services to semiconductor chip manufacturers through its direct sales force. Axcelis Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Beverly, Massachusetts.

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