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Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.82: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Albertsons Companies is one of the largest U.S. food and drug retailers, operating 2,270 stores in 34 states under 20+ banners including Albertsons, Safeway, and Jewel-Osco, with 1,728 in-store pharmacies. The company serves 36.2 million customers per week with approximately... Read more

$16.82+12.3% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#3 of 5 Grocery Stores
Stop $15.84Target $18.90(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$21.00+24.9%16 analysts
$18.90our TP
$16.82price
$21.00mean
$14
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.82: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.2
P/E (Fwd)6.7
Mkt Cap$8.1B
EV/EBITDA6.5
Profit Mgn0.3%
ROE8.3%
Rev Growth7.7%
Beta0.27
Dividend4.13%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$6-64.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-27Item 5.02LOW
    Brian Rice appointed to the Board of Directors effective February 25, 2026. Currently EVP and Global Chief Information Officer at McDonald's Corporation. Board expanded from 10 to 11 directors; no committee assignments disclosed.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Net Margin
0.1
Operating Margin
0.7
Gross Margin
1.4
Roa
2.7
Roe
2.8
Current Ratio
3.4
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 660% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.78Resistance $18.04

Price Targets

$16
$19
A.Upside+12.4%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.82: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. Prior stop was $15.84. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.90 (+12.3% upside). Prior stop was $15.84. Stop-loss: $15.84.

What are the risks of investing in ACI?

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is ACI overvalued or undervalued?

Albertsons Companies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 41.2 (forward 6.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACI?

26 analysts cover ACI with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Albertsons Companies, Inc. do?Albertsons Companies is one of the largest U.S. food and drug retailers, operating 2,270 stores in 34 states under 20+...

Albertsons Companies is one of the largest U.S. food and drug retailers, operating 2,270 stores in 34 states under 20+ banners including Albertsons, Safeway, and Jewel-Osco, with 1,728 in-store pharmacies. The company serves 36.2 million customers per week with approximately 285,000 employees; Own Brands portfolio generated $16.4 billion in fiscal 2024 sales.

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