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Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.50: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.78; Below-average business quality.

Albertsons Companies operates 2,244 food and drug retail stores under 22 banners (Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, and others) across 35 states and D.C. with approximately 280,000 employees serving 36.5 million customers weekly. Revenue comes from in-store grocery, pharmacy, and... Read more

$16.50+15.2% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#4 of 5 Grocery Stores
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield18.81%
IncomeYield4.15%(5y avg 2.28%)Payout150.00%at-risk
Stop $15.56Target $18.90(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$21.00+27.3%16 analysts
$18.90our TP
$16.50price
$21.00mean
$14
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.50: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.78; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Albertsons Companies, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.0
P/E (Fwd)6.7
Mkt Cap$8.1B
EV/EBITDA6.4
Profit Mgn0.3%
ROE8.3%
Rev Growth7.7%
Beta0.26
Dividend4.15%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C3.78bearish
IV55%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-27Item 5.02LOW
    Brian Rice appointed to Board of Directors effective February 25, 2026, expanding the Board from 10 to 11 directors. He serves as EVP and Global CIO at McDonald's Corporation. No committee assignment announced.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.1
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Net Margin
0.1
Operating Margin
0.7
Gross Margin
1.4
Roe
2.8
Roa
2.8
Current Ratio
3.4
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
5.6
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 703% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.54Resistance $17.01

Price Targets

$16
$19
A.Upside+14.5%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.50: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.78; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Prior stop was $15.56. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.90 (+15.2% upside). Prior stop was $15.56. Stop-loss: $15.56.

What are the risks of investing in ACI?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is ACI overvalued or undervalued?

Albertsons Companies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 41.0 (forward 6.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACI?

26 analysts cover ACI with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Albertsons Companies, Inc. do?Albertsons Companies operates 2,244 food and drug retail stores under 22 banners (Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, and...

Albertsons Companies operates 2,244 food and drug retail stores under 22 banners (Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, and others) across 35 states and D.C. with approximately 280,000 employees serving 36.5 million customers weekly. Revenue comes from in-store grocery, pharmacy, and online sales, with 51.2 million loyalty program members and no single supplier representing more than 5% of sales.

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