Weyerhaeuser is a timber REIT with four consecutive earnings beats, strong momentum above its 200-day moving average, and 26% analyst upside — but a quality score of only 2.7 out of 10, negative free cash flow, and no competitive moat create a below-floor quality profile that limits conviction despite favorable near-term price action.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Minimum Floor→Stable
- Consistent Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- Bullish Momentum With Volume Accumulation→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Real Estate · REIT - Specialty
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.76: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.
Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, began operations in 1900. Today the firm owns or controls more than 10 million acres of timberlands in the U.S., as well as additional public timberlands managed under long-term licenses in Canada.... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.76: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — Weyerhaeuser Company
Latest news
- NEWS JP Morgan Maintains Overweight on Weyerhaeuser, Raises Price Target to $31 — benzinga Jun 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS JP Morgan Maintains Overweight on Weyerhaeuser, Lowers Price Target to $30 — benzinga May 14, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Buy on Weyerhaeuser, Lowers Price Target to $30 — benzinga May 5, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Transcript: Weyerhaeuser Q1 2026 Earnings Conference Call — benzinga May 1, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Weyerhaeuser Q1 Adj. EPS $0.11 Beats $0.05 Estimate, Sales $1.727B Beat $1.716B Estimate — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-07-06T06:00:35Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-20Item 5.02LOWOn May 14, 2026, Weyerhaeuser amended and restated its 2023 Deferred Compensation Plan, permitting designated employee participants and executive officers to defer 10-50% of base salary and 10-100% of cash incentive awards. No departure or appointment cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.76: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $22.76. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $27.21 (+14.4% upside). Prior stop was $22.76. Stop-loss: $22.76.
Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0).
Weyerhaeuser Company trades at a P/E of 42.5 (forward 34.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover WY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $31.
What does Weyerhaeuser Company do?Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, began operations in 1900. Today the...
Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, began operations in 1900. Today the firm owns or controls more than 10 million acres of timberlands in the U.S., as well as additional public timberlands managed under long-term licenses in Canada. Weyerhaeuser has been a global leader in sustainability for more than a century and manages 100 percent of its timberlands on a fully sustainable basis in compliance with internationally recognized sustainable forestry standards. Weyerhaeuser is also one of the largest manufacturers of wood products in North America and operates additional business lines around product distribution, climate solutions, real estate, energy and natural resources, among others. In 2025, the company generated 6.9 billion US dollars in net sales and employed approximately 9,500 people who serve customers worldwide. Operated as a real estate investment trust, Weyerhaeuser's common stock trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol WY. Weyerhaeuser Company was incorporated in 1900 in Washington and is based in Seattle, United States.