Weyerhaeuser is a timber REIT with four consecutive earnings beats, strong momentum above its 200-day moving average, and 26% analyst upside — but a quality score of only 2.7 out of 10, negative free cash flow, and no competitive moat create a below-floor quality profile that limits conviction despite favorable near-term price action.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Minimum Floor→Stable
- Consistent Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
- Bullish Momentum With Volume Accumulation→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Real Estate · REIT - Specialty
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.38: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 4.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.43; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, began operations in 1900 and today owns or controls more than 10 million acres of timberlands in the U.S., as well as additional public timberlands managed under long-term licenses in Canada.... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.38: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 4.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.43; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-16Recent Developments — Weyerhaeuser Company
Latest news
- NEWS Meta To Rally More Than 11%? Here Are 10 Top Analyst Forecasts For Wednesday — benzinga Oct 14, 2026 neutral
- NEWS This Albemarle Analyst Turns Bullish; Here Are Top 4 Upgrades For Wednesday — benzinga Oct 14, 2026 neutral
- NEWS B of A Securities Upgrades Weyerhaeuser to Buy, Lowers Price Target to $25 — benzinga Oct 14, 2026 positive
- NEWS Truist Securities Maintains Hold on Weyerhaeuser, Lowers Price Target to $24 — benzinga Oct 12, 2026 negative
- NEWS Top 3 Real Estate Stocks That Are Set To Fly This quarter — benzinga Oct 12, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-10-16T11:42:18Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-20Item 5.02LOWOn May 14, 2026, Weyerhaeuser amended and restated its 2023 Deferred Compensation Plan, permitting designated employee participants and executive officers to defer 10-50% of base salary and 10-100% of cash incentive awards. No departure or appointment cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.38: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 4.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.43; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $18.34. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $24.20 (+24.9% upside). Prior stop was $18.34. Stop-loss: $18.34.
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-6.2% YoY), High leverage (D/E 1.6), Negative free cash flow.
Weyerhaeuser Company trades at a P/E of 28.6 (forward 30.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover WY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $28.
What does Weyerhaeuser Company do?Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, began operations in 1900 and today owns...
Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, began operations in 1900 and today owns or controls more than 10 million acres of timberlands in the U.S., as well as additional public timberlands managed under long-term licenses in Canada. Weyerhaeuser has been a global leader in sustainability for more than a century and manages 100 percent of its timberlands on a fully sustainable basis in compliance with internationally recognized sustainable forestry standards. Weyerhaeuser is also one of the largest manufacturers of wood products in North America and operates additional business lines around product distribution, climate solutions, real estate, energy and natural resources, among others. In 2025, the company generated 6.9 billion dollar in net sales and employed approximately 9,500 people who serve customers worldwide. Weyerhaeuser Company was founded in 1900 and was incorporated in Washington.