Weyerhaeuser is a timber REIT with four consecutive earnings beats, strong momentum above its 200-day moving average, and 26% analyst upside — but a quality score of only 2.7 out of 10, negative free cash flow, and no competitive moat create a below-floor quality profile that limits conviction despite favorable near-term price action.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Minimum Floor↑Improving
- Consistent Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- Bullish Momentum With Volume Accumulation↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 13, 2026· older than 90 days
Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Real Estate · REIT - Specialty
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0).
Weyerhaeuser Company is the world's largest private owners of timberlands and today owns or controls more than 10 million acres of timberlands in the U.S., as well as additional public timberlands managed under long-term licenses in Canada. Weyerhaeuser has been a global leader... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Nov 4, 2026Recent Developments — Weyerhaeuser Company
Latest news
- NEWS RDI Railing Expands Distribution Footprint with Weyerhaeuser — fiscal.ai Nov 4, 2026 neutral
- NEWS CIBC Maintains Weyerhaeuser at Outperformer, Lowers Price Target to $24 — fiscal.ai Nov 2, 2026 neutral
- NEWS CIBC Maintains Outperformer on Weyerhaeuser, Lowers Price Target to $24 — benzinga Nov 2, 2026 negative
- NEWS RBC Comments on Weyerhaeuser's 2026 Capital Expenditure and Share Buyback Plan — fiscal.ai Nov 2, 2026 positive
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Buy on Weyerhaeuser, Raises Price Target to $23 — benzinga Nov 2, 2026 positive
Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:59:11Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-20Item 5.02LOWOn May 14, 2026, Weyerhaeuser amended and restated its 2023 Deferred Compensation Plan, permitting designated employee participants and executive officers to defer 10-50% of base salary and 10-100% of cash incentive awards. No departure or appointment cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $23.17 (+6.5%), stop $20.45 (−6.4%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $23.17 (+6.5% upside). Analyst target $23.17 (+6.5%), stop $20.45 (−6.4%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $20.45.
Thin upside margin: 6.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.
Weyerhaeuser Company trades at a P/E of 34.5 (forward 50.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Hold.
21 analysts rate WY, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 11 analysts publish price targets averaging $27.
What does Weyerhaeuser Company do?Weyerhaeuser Company is the world's largest private owners of timberlands and today owns or controls more than 10...
Weyerhaeuser Company is the world's largest private owners of timberlands and today owns or controls more than 10 million acres of timberlands in the U.S., as well as additional public timberlands managed under long-term licenses in Canada. Weyerhaeuser has been a global leader in sustainability for more than a century and manages 100 percent of its timberlands on a fully sustainable basis in compliance with internationally recognized sustainable forestry standards. Weyerhaeuser is also one of the largest manufacturers of wood products in North America and operates additional business lines around product distribution, climate solutions, real estate, energy and natural resources, among others. In 2025, the company generated 6.9 billion dollar in net sales and employed approximately 9,500 people who serve customers worldwide. Weyerhaeuser Company was founded in 1900 and was incorporated in Washington.