Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Real Estate · REIT - Specialty
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.57: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, began operations in 1900. Today the firm owns or controls more than 10 million acres of timberlands in the U.S., as well as additional public timberlands managed under long-term licenses in Canada.... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.57: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 4/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographictimberland ownership10-K Item 1A: 'Our timberland ownership is concentrated in Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Louisiana, Maine, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon and Washington.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-19Item 5.02LOWAmendment (8-K/A) reporting that board member Rick Beckwitt, appointed Nov 14, 2025, was assigned to the compensation committee on Feb 13, 2026. Routine committee assignment; no other changes.SEC filing →
- 2026-01-27Item 5.02LOWCompensation Committee approved new forms of terms and conditions for future performance share unit and restricted stock unit awards for executive officers under the 2022 Long-Term Incentive Plan, effective Jan 21, 2026.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -9.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.57: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $23.43. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $27.44 (+11.7% upside). Prior stop was $23.43. Stop-loss: $23.43.
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-8.8% YoY), Negative free cash flow.
Weyerhaeuser Company trades at a P/E of 53.9 (forward 35.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover WY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $32.
What does Weyerhaeuser Company do?Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, began operations in 1900. Today the...
Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, began operations in 1900. Today the firm owns or controls more than 10 million acres of timberlands in the U.S., as well as additional public timberlands managed under long-term licenses in Canada. Weyerhaeuser has been a global leader in sustainability for more than a century and manages 100 percent of its timberlands on a fully sustainable basis in compliance with internationally recognized sustainable forestry standards. Weyerhaeuser is also one of the largest manufacturers of wood products in North America and operates additional business lines around product distribution, climate solutions, real estate, energy and natural resources, among others. In 2025, the company generated $6.9 billion in net sales and employed approximately 9,500 people who serve customers worldwide. Operated as a real estate investment trust, Weyerhaeuser's common stock trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol WY. Weyerhaeuser Company was incorporated in 1900 in Washington, USA.