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AMTAmerican Tower Corporation (REISell5.0·$194.86
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

American Tower is a high-return REIT with a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, but heavy leverage (debt-to-equity of 4.6), only 3.4% upside to the $194.17 analyst target and 14.6% downside leave an unfavorable setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • High Return High Margin Quality→Stable
  • Leverage Penalty↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

American Tower Corporation (REI (AMT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $194.86 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.8% away).

American Tower Corporation owns and operates 149,686 communications sites globally across the U.S. & Canada, Latin America, Europe, and Africa & APAC, plus 30 data center facilities across 11 U.S. markets, with property operations generating 97% of total revenues via long-term... Read more

$194.86-0.3% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#13 of 17 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.34%
IncomeYield3.67%(5y avg 2.98%)Payout99.58%
Stop $182.06Analyst target $194.24(reached)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst consensus$215.83+10.8%23 analysts with price targets
$194.86price
$215.83mean
$260

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $194.86 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 110d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 27, 2026

Recent Developments — American Tower Corporation (REI

Latest item Oct 27, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 23, 2027110d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.8% away)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.4
P/E (Fwd)27.8
Mkt Cap$90.4B
EV/EBITDA19.8
Profit Mgn30.1%
ROE33.0%
Rev Growth2.5%
Beta0.84
Dividend3.67%
Analysts with ratings29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$110-43.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.1

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.0
Value Rank
3.9
Quality Rank
7.0

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.1
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
4.7
P Ocf
6.8
P/OCF: 15.8x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 110d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $163.66Resistance $202.50

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-23 (110d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $194.86 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $182.06. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the AMT stock price target?

Analyst target $194.24 reached (−0.3% from $194.86); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $182.06. Stop-loss: $182.06.

What are the risks of investing in AMT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.8% away); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is AMT overvalued or undervalued?

American Tower Corporation (REI trades at a P/E of 27.4 (forward 27.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMT?

29 analysts rate AMT, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 23 analysts publish price targets averaging $216.

What does American Tower Corporation (REI do?American Tower Corporation owns and operates 149,686 communications sites globally across the U.S. & Canada, Latin...

American Tower Corporation owns and operates 149,686 communications sites globally across the U.S. & Canada, Latin America, Europe, and Africa & APAC, plus 30 data center facilities across 11 U.S. markets, with property operations generating 97% of total revenues via long-term tenant leases. Revenue is concentrated in four customers — T-Mobile (18%), AT&T (17%), Verizon Wireless (14%), and Telefónica (10%) — who together represent 59% of total revenues.

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