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American Tower Corporation (REI (AMT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $176.83 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.1%.

American Tower Corporation is one of the largest global real estate investment trusts. It is a leading independent owner, operator and developer of multitenant communications real estate. The Company's primary business is the leasing of space on communications sites to wireless... Read more

$176.83+9.1% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 14 REIT - Specialty
Stop $170.31Target $194.40(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$216.00+22.2%22 analysts
$194.40our TP
$176.83price
$216.00mean
$260

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $176.83 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.1%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.1%
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.7
P/E (Fwd)25.7
Mkt Cap$83.0B
EV/EBITDA19.1
Profit Mgn26.8%
ROE30.0%
Rev Growth6.8%
Beta0.93
Dividend3.87%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.32bearish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $168.07Resistance $183.43

Price Targets

$170
$194
A.Upside+9.9%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $176.83 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.1%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Prior stop was $170.31. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $194.40 (+9.1% upside). Prior stop was $170.31. Stop-loss: $170.31.

What are the risks of investing in AMT?

Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is AMT overvalued or undervalued?

American Tower Corporation (REI trades at a P/E of 28.7 (forward 25.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMT?

28 analysts cover AMT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $216.

What does American Tower Corporation (REI do?American Tower Corporation is one of the largest global real estate investment trusts. It is a leading independent...

American Tower Corporation is one of the largest global real estate investment trusts. It is a leading independent owner, operator and developer of multitenant communications real estate. The Company's primary business is the leasing of space on communications sites to wireless service providers, radio and television broadcast companies, wireless data providers, government agencies and municipalities and tenants in a few other industries. The Company refers to this business, inclusive of its data center business discussed below, as its property operations. Additionally, the Company offers tower-related services in the United States, which the Company refers to as its services operations. These services include site application, zoning and permitting, structural and mount analyses, and construction management services, together with program management offerings that support customer deployment needs from project scoping through construction. The Company's services operations primarily support the Company's site leasing business, including through the addition of new tenants and equipment on its sites. The Company's customers include its tenants, licensees and other payers. American Tower Corporation was incorporated in 1995 in Delaware, USA.

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