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GLPIGaming and Leisure Properties, Sell5.9·$46.55-1.31%
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Gaming and Leisure Properties, (GLPI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. At $46.55, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Gaming and Leisure Properties is a REIT that owns casino and gaming real estate leased under triple-net agreements to operators including PENN Entertainment, Caesars, Boyd Gaming, Cordish, and Bally's. It earns rental income through long-term master leases with escalating rent... Read more

$46.55+5.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 14 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.64%
IncomeYield6.95%(5y avg 6.05%)Payout98.42%
Stop $45.09Target $49.03(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$54.48+17.0%23 analysts
$49.03our TP
$46.55price
$54.48mean
$62

Sell if holding. At $46.55, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.0 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.3%
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.9
P/E (Fwd)14.2
Mkt Cap$13.4B
EV/EBITDA14.0
Profit Mgn55.1%
ROE19.1%
Rev Growth6.3%
Beta0.69
Dividend6.95%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.69bearish
IV59%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.8
Volume
3.7
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.85Resistance $48.51

Price Targets

$45
$49
A.Upside+5.3%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GLPI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $46.55, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $45.09. Score 5.9/10, high confidence.

What is the GLPI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.03 (+5.3% upside). Prior stop was $45.09. Stop-loss: $45.09.

What are the risks of investing in GLPI?

Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.

Is GLPI overvalued or undervalued?

Gaming and Leisure Properties, trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 14.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GLPI?

30 analysts cover GLPI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $54.

What does Gaming and Leisure Properties, do?Gaming and Leisure Properties is a REIT that owns casino and gaming real estate leased under triple-net agreements to...

Gaming and Leisure Properties is a REIT that owns casino and gaming real estate leased under triple-net agreements to operators including PENN Entertainment, Caesars, Boyd Gaming, Cordish, and Bally's. It earns rental income through long-term master leases with escalating rent structures tied to tenant gaming revenues.

Related stocks: DLR (Digital Realty Trust, Inc.) · RYN (Rayonier Inc. REIT) · AMT (American Tower Corporation (REI) · UNIT (Uniti Group Inc.) · EQIX (Equinix, Inc.)
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