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Gaming and Leisure Properties, (GLPI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Tenant: PENN; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Gaming and Leisure Properties is a Pennsylvania REIT owning interests in 69 gaming and related facilities across 20 states, 97% occupied, leased under long-term triple-net arrangements to gaming operators. PENN Entertainment is the largest tenant and the majority source of... Read more

$47.99+2.1% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#1 of 14 REIT - Specialty
Stop $46.61Target $48.99(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$54.43+13.4%23 analysts
$48.99our TP
$47.99price
$54.43mean
$46
$62

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Tenant: PENN; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val5.1Qual6.9Grw6.7Mom7.1Sent7.2Ins5.0Peer5.7Tech3.9Risk6.56.1OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Tenant: PENN
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.9% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.1
P/E (Fwd)14.3
Mkt Cap$13.6B
EV/EBITDA14.2
Profit Mgn55.1%
ROE19.1%
Rev Growth6.3%
Beta0.71
Dividend6.50%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV50%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHTenantPENN
    10-K Item 1A: 'The majority of our revenues are dependent on PENN and its subsidiaries.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.5
Bollinger
1.7
52w Position
9.5
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.64Resistance $48.21

Price Targets

$47
$49
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Reward/Risk 0.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GLPI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Tenant: PENN; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $48.99 (+2.1%), stop $46.61 (−3.0%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GLPI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.99 (+2.1% upside). Target $48.99 (+2.1%), stop $46.61 (−3.0%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $46.61.

What are the risks of investing in GLPI?

Concentration risk — Tenant: PENN; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.9% away).

Is GLPI overvalued or undervalued?

Gaming and Leisure Properties, trades at a P/E of 15.1 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GLPI?

30 analysts cover GLPI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $54.

What does Gaming and Leisure Properties, do?Gaming and Leisure Properties is a Pennsylvania REIT owning interests in 69 gaming and related facilities across 20...

Gaming and Leisure Properties is a Pennsylvania REIT owning interests in 69 gaming and related facilities across 20 states, 97% occupied, leased under long-term triple-net arrangements to gaming operators. PENN Entertainment is the largest tenant and the majority source of revenue; other significant tenants include Caesars, Boyd, Bally's, and Cordish.

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