Woodward is an aerospace and defense components manufacturer with four consecutive earnings beats averaging 14.4% above estimates, 23% year-over-year earnings growth, and best-in-class margins and return on equity relative to peers — though a forward price-to-earnings of 37.4x and a price within 1.1% of its 52-week high leave virtually no margin of safety at current levels.
Thesis pillars
- Best In Class Margins Roe→Stable
- Consistent Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- Strong Growth Trajectory→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Woodward, Inc. (WWD) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $346.04 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Woodward designs and manufactures control systems for aerospace and industrial markets from facilities in the U.S., Europe, and Asia. Revenue comes from OEM product sales and aftermarket services; the top five customers — including RTX Corporation, GE Aerospace, and The Boeing... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $346.04 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-04Recent Developments — Woodward, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Woodward Inc (WWD) Stock Down 6.1% but Still Overvalued -- GF Sc - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS Woodward Inc (WWD) Stock Down 6.1% but Still Overvalued -- GF Score: 82/100 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS Woodward’s (NASDAQ:WWD) Q2 CY2026 Earnings Results: Revenue In Line With Expectations But Stock Drops - StockStory — StockStory negative
- NEWS Woodward’s (NASDAQ:WWD) Q2 CY2026 Earnings Results: Revenue In Line With Expectations But Stock Drops - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS Woodward (WWD) Tops Q3 Earnings Estimates - Yahoo Finance UK — Yahoo Finance UK positive
Generated 2026-09-04T19:02:10Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop five customers36%10-K Item 1: 'Sales to our five largest customers represented approximately 36% of our consolidated net sales for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025'
- LOWCustomerU.S. Government20%10-K Item 1A: 'Sales made directly to U.S. Government agencies and entities ... accounted for approximately 20% of total sales in fiscal year 2025'
- MEDIUMGeographiccustomers outside the United States46%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 46% of our total sales were made to customers in jurisdictions outside of the United States'
- HIGHSuppliersingle source of supply10-K Item 1A: 'In some instances, we depend upon a single source of supply, manufacturing, or logistics support'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-05Item 5.02MEDIUMTerence J. Voskuil, EVP Chief Technology Officer Aerospace, notified Woodward of intention to retire effective October 2, 2026. Will continue in current role until effective date. No successor named.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-24Item 5.02LOWFrederico F. Curado elected to Board of Directors effective June 1, 2026, appointed to Audit Committee. Board size increased from 9 to 10 directors. No departure cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $346.04 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $327.61. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $391.82 (+13.2% upside). Prior stop was $327.61. Stop-loss: $327.61.
Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.
Woodward, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.3 (forward 31.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts cover WWD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $450.
What does Woodward, Inc. do?Woodward designs and manufactures control systems for aerospace and industrial markets from facilities in the U.S.,...
Woodward designs and manufactures control systems for aerospace and industrial markets from facilities in the U.S., Europe, and Asia. Revenue comes from OEM product sales and aftermarket services; the top five customers — including RTX Corporation, GE Aerospace, and The Boeing Company — accounted for approximately 36% of fiscal year 2025 net sales.