Skip to main content

Woodward, Inc. (WWD) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. At $344.85, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Expensive valuation; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Woodward designs, manufactures, and services energy control solutions for aerospace and industrial markets, with approximately 10,200 employees globally. The Aerospace segment serves commercial and military aircraft OEMs; Industrial serves gas turbines and reciprocating engines.... Read more

$344.85+10.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#21 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.94%
IncomeYield0.37%(5y avg 0.58%)Payout13.89%sustainable
Stop $332.07Target $380.45(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$437.30+26.8%10 analysts
$380.45our TP
$344.85price
$437.30mean
$470

Sell if holding. At $344.85, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Expensive valuation; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Woodward, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Expensive valuation
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.3
P/E (Fwd)32.1
Mkt Cap$20.5B
EV/EBITDA29.3
Profit Mgn12.9%
ROE21.1%
Rev Growth23.4%
Beta0.92
Dividend0.37%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.44bearish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$260-24.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop-5 customers36%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to our five largest customers represented approximately 36% of our consolidated net sales for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025'
  • LOWCustomerU.S. Government20%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales made directly to U.S. Government agencies and entities, or indirectly through third-party manufacturers utilizing our parts and subassemblies, collectively represented 20% of our sales for fiscal year 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-24Item 5.02LOW
    Frederico F. Curado elected to Woodward Board of Directors effective June 1, 2026, also appointed to Audit Committee. Board size increased from nine to ten directors. Routine board appointment; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.4
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.6
Uptrend pullback (RSI 39) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $342.34Resistance $387.19

Price Targets

$332
$380
A.Upside+10.3%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WWD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $344.85, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Expensive valuation; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $332.07. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WWD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $380.45 (+10.3% upside). Prior stop was $332.07. Stop-loss: $332.07.

What are the risks of investing in WWD?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Expensive valuation; Negative momentum.

Is WWD overvalued or undervalued?

Woodward, Inc. trades at a P/E of 41.3 (forward 32.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WWD?

16 analysts cover WWD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $437.

What does Woodward, Inc. do?Woodward designs, manufactures, and services energy control solutions for aerospace and industrial markets, with...

Woodward designs, manufactures, and services energy control solutions for aerospace and industrial markets, with approximately 10,200 employees globally. The Aerospace segment serves commercial and military aircraft OEMs; Industrial serves gas turbines and reciprocating engines. Top 5 customers represented approximately 36% of FY2025 consolidated net sales.

Related stocks: LOAR (Loar Holdings Inc.) · VVX (V2X, Inc.) · FTAI (FTAI Aviation Ltd.) · HWM (Howmet Aerospace Inc.) · NOC (Northrop Grumman Corporation)