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Woodward, Inc. (WWD) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $370.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.9%; Expensive valuation.

Woodward designs, manufactures, and services energy control solutions for aerospace and industrial markets through two segments. In fiscal 2025, sales to the five largest customers were ~36% of net sales and sales to U.S. Government agencies/entities were ~20% of total sales.

$370.06+3.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 46 Aerospace & Defense
Stop $346.29Target $374.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$431.00+16.5%10 analysts
$374.97our TP
$370.06price
$431.00mean
$450

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $370.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.9%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.80, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.9%
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.3
P/E (Fwd)35.0
Mkt Cap$21.5B
EV/EBITDA32.5
Profit Mgn12.9%
ROE20.4%
Rev Growth29.0%
Beta0.98
Dividend0.35%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV78%elevated
Max Pain$230-37.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop-5 customers36%
    10-K Item 1A: 'sales to our largest five customers represented approximately 36% of our consolidated net sales'
  • LOWCustomerU.S. Government20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales made directly to U.S. Government agencies and entities...accounted for approximately 20% of total sales in fiscal year 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.8
Forward Pe
3.0
Peg Ratio
3.8
Analyst Target
5.0
Ps
6.4
Forward P/E: 35.0xPEG: 2.86
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.80EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $357.00Resistance $407.00

Price Targets

$346
$375
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WWD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $370.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.9%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $374.97 (+1.3%), stop $346.29 (−6.9%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WWD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $374.97 (+3.9% upside). Target $374.97 (+1.3%), stop $346.29 (−6.9%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $346.29.

What are the risks of investing in WWD?

Thin upside margin: 3.9%; Expensive valuation.

Is WWD overvalued or undervalued?

Woodward, Inc. trades at a P/E of 43.3 (forward 35.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WWD?

15 analysts cover WWD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $431.

What does Woodward, Inc. do?Woodward designs, manufactures, and services energy control solutions for aerospace and industrial markets through two...

Woodward designs, manufactures, and services energy control solutions for aerospace and industrial markets through two segments. In fiscal 2025, sales to the five largest customers were ~36% of net sales and sales to U.S. Government agencies/entities were ~20% of total sales.

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