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BETABeta Technologies, Inc.Hold6.0·$25.31
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Beta Technologies is a hyper-growth aerospace company (146% YoY revenue growth) with attractive valuation versus analyst targets, but heavy cash burn, a 49% drawdown and persistent insider selling make it a speculative holding rather than a quality compounder.

Thesis pillars

  • Hyper Growth Revenue Ramp→Stable
  • Cash Burn Quality Risk↑Improving
  • Analyst Upside And Valuation↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 9, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Beta Technologies designs and manufactures electric aircraft (ALIA CTOL and VTOL variants), electric propulsion systems, batteries, and ground support charging equipment targeting cargo, medical, defense, and passenger markets. Revenue was $35.6 million in 2025 from motor sales,... Read more

$25.31+10.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#24 of 66 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $23.54Analyst target $28.03(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst consensus$32.22+27.3%9 analysts with price targets
$28.03Analyst target
$25.31price
$32.22mean
$37

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 123d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Beta Technologies, Inc.

About Beta Technologies, Inc.

Beta Technologies reported $35.6 million in revenue for fiscal 2025—up from $15.1 million in 2024—while carrying an unfilled civil aircraft backlog of 891 units valued at $3.47 billion, of which 289 are firm orders and 602 are options. The company's 188,000 square foot Final Assembly Facility in South Burlington, Vermont targets production of more than 300 aircraft annually at maturity, with site control and permits for expansion to over 355,000 square feet. End markets span cargo and logistics (UPS, Bristow), medical transport (United Therapeutics, Metro Aviation), defense (U.S. Military), and passenger operations.

Beta Technologies generates revenue through four streams: aircraft sales to commercial and military customers; replacement battery sales in the aftermarket, with an estimated 18-20 sets required over a 20-year aircraft lifecycle generating approximately $13 million in aftermarket revenue per aircraft at current pricing; propulsion system sales as a merchant supplier to other eVTOL manufacturers; and ground support equipment including Charge Cubes deployed at 56 airports and logistics hubs globally. The company signed a contract to supply up to $1 billion in pusher motors to EVE Air Mobility (Embraer-backed), and has delivered lift motors for EVE's proof-of-concept aircraft. Additional motor programs include a subcontract with General Dynamics Applied Physical Sciences for a DARPA advanced propulsion program for undersea vehicles. Battery cells are commercially sourced and integrated into proprietary 225 kWh pack assemblies. GE Aerospace made a $300 million equity investment in Beta Technologies to co-develop a hybrid electric turbogenerator for defense and civil applications.

Show full overview

Beta Technologies' entire commercial aircraft revenue model depends on FAA Type Certification, which no electric aircraft had received as of the filing date. The company targets FAA Part 33 certification for its H500A electric motor in the first half of 2026—supported partly by a Hartzell propeller receiving FAA Part 35 certification in July 2025—followed by Part 23 aircraft certification approximately 12 months after motor certification. A Special Federal Aviation Regulation for eVTOL aircraft (SFAR, adopted December 2024) adds an operational approval layer beyond type certification before operators may conduct commercial eVTOL flights, and the 10-K acknowledges that substantially changed FAA regulations may require aircraft redesign and cause scheduling delays.

See also: Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

From Beta Technologies, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — Beta Technologies, Inc.

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:29Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Mar 9, 2027123d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.60)
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Overbought (RSI 80)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-11.2
Mkt Cap$5.9B
EV/EBITDA-9.0
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-46.8%
Rev Growth98.2%
Beta—
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV84%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerEVE Air Mobility
    10-K Item 1: 'signing a contract to provide up to $1 billion of pusher motors to EVE'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
2.8
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotMomentum 8.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 123d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
80 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.13Resistance $25.70

Price Targets

$24
$28
A.Upside+10.8%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-03-09 (123d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BETA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $28.03 (+10.8%), stop $23.54 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BETA stock price target?

Analyst target: $28.03 (+10.8% upside). Analyst target $28.03 (+10.8%), stop $23.54 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $23.54.

What are the risks of investing in BETA?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Overbought (RSI 80).

Is BETA overvalued or undervalued?

Beta Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BETA?

15 analysts rate BETA, with a consensus score of 4.3/5. 9 analysts publish price targets averaging $32.

What does Beta Technologies, Inc. do?Beta Technologies designs and manufactures electric aircraft (ALIA CTOL and VTOL variants), electric propulsion...

Beta Technologies designs and manufactures electric aircraft (ALIA CTOL and VTOL variants), electric propulsion systems, batteries, and ground support charging equipment targeting cargo, medical, defense, and passenger markets. Revenue was $35.6 million in 2025 from motor sales, GSE, and services; the civil aircraft backlog totals 891 units valued at $3.47 billion with no certified aircraft delivered yet.

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