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Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Beta Technologies is a pre-commercial electric aircraft OEM developing the ALIA CTOL and ALIA VTOL aircraft, electric propulsion systems, batteries, and charging infrastructure from its ~188,000 sq ft Final Assembly Facility in South Burlington, Vermont. Revenue of $35.6M in... Read more

$14.75+92.9% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#42 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
Stop $13.88Target $28.17(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 6.2:1
Analyst target$32.38+119.5%8 analysts
$28.17our TP
$14.75price
$32.38mean
$40

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Beta Technologies, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 93%
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-7.0
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA-4.9
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-73.1%
Rev Growth5.6%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C6.50bearish
IV97%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-19Item 5.02LOW
    Dean Kamen voluntarily resigned from the Board effective February 18, 2026 to avoid potential distractions. Also served on Compensation Committee. Nominating Committee review found no violations of law. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.2
Growth Rank
0.9

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.3
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
7.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.9
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 6.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $14.31Resistance $19.30

Price Targets

$14
$28
A.Upside+91.0%
A.R:R6.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BETA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $13.88. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the BETA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.17 (+92.9% upside). Prior stop was $13.88. Stop-loss: $13.88.

What are the risks of investing in BETA?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is BETA overvalued or undervalued?

Beta Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -7.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BETA?

14 analysts cover BETA with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Beta Technologies, Inc. do?Beta Technologies is a pre-commercial electric aircraft OEM developing the ALIA CTOL and ALIA VTOL aircraft, electric...

Beta Technologies is a pre-commercial electric aircraft OEM developing the ALIA CTOL and ALIA VTOL aircraft, electric propulsion systems, batteries, and charging infrastructure from its ~188,000 sq ft Final Assembly Facility in South Burlington, Vermont. Revenue of $35.6M in 2025 comes primarily from propulsion system sales, defense contracts, and charging infrastructure; no certified aircraft have been delivered yet. The company has a civil aircraft backlog of 891 aircraft worth $3.47 billion.

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