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WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc.Sell5.8·$356.02+1.64%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Watts Water Technologies is a high-quality industrial machinery manufacturer with a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging 13.3% above estimates, 21% year-over-year earnings growth, a wide economic moat, and an 8/9 Piotroski score — but trades at a forward price-to-earnings of 25.6x with free cash flow quality at only 50% of net income, limiting the near-term return profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Compounder QualityStable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakImproving
  • Strong Growth LeadershipStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Watts Water Technologies, Inc. (WTS) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $356.02, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: residential and commercial flow control products (61.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced international components.

Watts Water Technologies manufactures and sells water control, flow control, and water quality products across three geographic segments: Americas, Europe, and APMEA. Revenue comes from wholesale distributors (66% of net sales in 2025), OEMs, specialty channels, and DIY chains,... Read more

$356.02-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#12 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.93%
IncomeYield0.65%(5y avg 0.72%)Payout19.13%sustainable
Stop $338.82Target $378.99(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$404.00+13.5%7 analysts
$378.99our TP
$356.02price
$404.00mean
$447

Sell if holding. At $356.02, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: residential and commercial flow control products (61.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced international components. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Watts Water Technologies, Inc.

About Watts Water Technologies, Inc.

Watts Water Technologies' residential and commercial flow control and protection segment generated 61% of 2025 net sales, with HVAC and gas solutions contributing 23%, drainage and water re-use 11%, and water quality 5%. Top-10 customers accounted for $570.3 million, or 23.4% of total net sales, across commercial and residential building markets in three geographic segments—Americas, Europe, and APMEA—served by approximately 5,700 employees globally, including 3,100 in the Americas, 1,900 in Europe, and 700 in APMEA.

Watts Water earns revenue primarily through wholesale distributors, which accounted for 66% of net sales in 2025, followed by specialty channels at 21%, OEMs at 10%, and DIY chains at 3%. No single customer exceeded 10% of total net sales. Products are manufactured using bronze, brass, cast iron, stainless steel, and plastic sourced substantially from external suppliers; certain components and finished goods are internationally sourced, including some that are single-sourced. Tariffs imposed in 2025 on imports from Canada, China, and Mexico increased product costs and may weigh on gross margins; commodity prices for copper and stainless steel have experienced substantial volatility in recent years. The company has completed 17 acquisitions since 2016 to extend its addressable market, and in 2025 expanded its Nexa intelligent water management platform through new hardware integrations.

Show full overview

Watts Water sources certain components and finished goods internationally, including some that are single-sourced, creating supply exposure if disruption affects key suppliers in Asia. The company notes it cannot predict whether commodity costs—particularly copper and stainless steel—will significantly increase or decrease; if costs rise and cannot be offset through price increases, profit margins could decrease. A February 2026 U.S. Supreme Court decision invalidating tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act introduced further uncertainty about trade policy direction and could affect cost structure and supply chain planning.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Watts Water Technologies, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: residential and commercial flow control products (61.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced international components
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.1
P/E (Fwd)25.4
Mkt Cap$11.9B
EV/EBITDA20.2
Profit Mgn14.3%
ROE18.8%
Rev Growth18.6%
Beta1.13
Dividend0.65%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.37bearish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$440+23.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductresidential and commercial flow control products61%
    10-K Item 1: 'Residential & commercial flow control and protection products accounted for approximately 61%...of our total net sales in 2025'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle-sourced international components
    10-K Item 1A: 'We also source certain components and finished goods internationally, including some that are single-sourced.'
  • LOWCustomertop 10 customers23%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten customers accounted for $570.3 million, or 23.4%, of our total net sales in 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.9
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.9
Uptrend pullback (RSI 36) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $347.11Resistance $386.72

Price Targets

$339
$379
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.3% upside)
! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $356.02, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: residential and commercial flow control products (61.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced international components. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $338.82. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WTS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $378.99 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $338.82. Stop-loss: $338.82.

What are the risks of investing in WTS?

Concentration risk — Product: residential and commercial flow control products (61.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced international components; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is WTS overvalued or undervalued?

Watts Water Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.1 (forward 25.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WTS?

16 analysts cover WTS with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $404.

What does Watts Water Technologies, Inc. do?Watts Water Technologies manufactures and sells water control, flow control, and water quality products across three...

Watts Water Technologies manufactures and sells water control, flow control, and water quality products across three geographic segments: Americas, Europe, and APMEA. Revenue comes from wholesale distributors (66% of net sales in 2025), OEMs, specialty channels, and DIY chains, with residential and commercial flow control products representing about 61% of net sales. No single customer exceeded 10% of net sales in 2025.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Lt) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS) · XE (X-Energy, Inc.)
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